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PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (ISX:JAWA) Beneish M-Score : -4.91 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:JAWA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -105.75   Med: -2.45   Max: 19.81
Current: -4.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk was 19.81. The lowest was -105.75. And the median was -2.45.


PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.59 -2.62 -3.38 -2.89 -1.48

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.11 -1.48 -105.75 -4.75 -4.91

Competitive Comparison of PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7908+0.528 * -2.1412+0.404 * 1.0397+0.892 * 0.8784+0.115 * 0.184
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.638+4.679 * -0.067706-0.327 * 0.8858
=-4.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp27,139 Mil.
Revenue was 238632.466 + 248523.537 + 198199.371 + 224032.467 = Rp909,388 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4950.258 + -333.473 + -22031.145 + -9228.891 = Rp-26,643 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp262,730 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,633,090 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp782,425 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,235 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp32,823 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp602,084 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,685,107 Mil.
Net Income was -71900.315 + -87679.246 + -84926.152 + -122874.859 = Rp-367,381 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -18911.6 + -41676.249 + -45880.286 + -14928.732 = Rp-121,397 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp39,069 Mil.
Revenue was 210927.836 + 279011.655 + 257569.56 + 287754.19 = Rp1,035,263 Mil.
Gross Profit was -5039.363 + 35939.803 + 5625.064 + 28419.579 = Rp64,945 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp312,461 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,665,593 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp841,840 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp441 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp22,813 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp646,048 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,959,235 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27138.59 / 909387.841) / (39068.996 / 1035263.241)
=0.029843 / 0.037738
=0.7908

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(64945.083 / 1035263.241) / (-26643.251 / 909387.841)
=0.062733 / -0.029298
=-2.1412

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (262729.731 + 782425.259) / 3633089.644) / (1 - (312460.563 + 841840.29) / 3665593.487)
=0.712323 / 0.685099
=1.0397

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=909387.841 / 1035263.241
=0.8784

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(440.995 / (440.995 + 841840.29)) / (2234.582 / (2234.582 + 782425.259))
=0.000524 / 0.002848
=0.184

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(32823.113 / 909387.841) / (22812.693 / 1035263.241)
=0.036094 / 0.022036
=1.638

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1685107.039 + 602084.355) / 3633089.644) / ((1959235.078 + 646047.676) / 3665593.487)
=0.629544 / 0.71074
=0.8858

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-367380.572 - 0 - -121396.867) / 3633089.644
=-0.067706

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk has a M-score of -4.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (ISX:JAWA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Tanah Abang II Number 49-51, Gedung Graha Dinamika 2nd Floor, Jakarta, IDN, 10160
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk is an agribusiness company that is engaged in cultivation, processing, agricultural logistics, and marketing activities. It produces rubber and crude palm oil and maintains commodities including coffee and tea. The group classifies its business activities into three business segments, consisting of Rubber, Palm Oil, Coffee, and Tea. It derives its revenue from the Palm Oil segment.

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (ISX:JAWA) Headlines

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