AVI (JSE:AVI) Beneish M-Score: -2.72 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


JSE:AVI AVI Ltd JSE:AVI
92 GF Score
Price R98.30
GF Value R97.66
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AVI Beneish M-Score?

AVI JSE:AVI -0.55% 92 Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:AVI with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of R97.66 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, AVI ranks better than 67.55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AVI's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:AVI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.44
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AVI was -2.44. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.64.


AVI Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AVI's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AVI Beneish M-Score Chart

AVI Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.67 -2.60 -2.54 -2.72

AVI Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.54 0.00 -2.72 0.00

JSE:AVI vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, AVI's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AVI Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, AVI's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AVI's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:AVI
92GF Score
AVI Ltd JSE:AVI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AVI Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AVI for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0235+0.528 * 0.9769+0.404 * 0.9587+0.892 * 1.01+0.115 * 0.9784
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9801+4.679 * -0.040668-0.327 * 1.1549
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R2,048 Mil.
Revenue was R16,022 Mil.
Gross Profit was R6,838 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R5,591 Mil.
Total Assets was R10,497 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,885 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R587 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R3,276 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R4,027 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R418 Mil.
Net Income was R2,430 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R2,857 Mil.
Total Receivables was R1,981 Mil.
Revenue was R15,862 Mil.
Gross Profit was R6,613 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R5,548 Mil.
Total Assets was R10,310 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R3,716 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R548 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R3,309 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R3,375 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R405 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2047.7 / 16021.5) / (1980.9 / 15862.3)
=0.12781 / 0.124881
=1.0235

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6613.4 / 15862.3) / (6837.5 / 16021.5)
=0.416926 / 0.42677
=0.9769

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5591.1 + 3885.2) / 10497.2) / (1 - (5547.8 + 3716) / 10309.7)
=0.097255 / 0.101448
=0.9587

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16021.5 / 15862.3
=1.01

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(547.8 / (547.8 + 3716)) / (587.3 / (587.3 + 3885.2))
=0.128477 / 0.131314
=0.9784

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3275.6 / 16021.5) / (3308.8 / 15862.3)
=0.20445 / 0.208595
=0.9801

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((417.8 + 4027) / 10497.2) / ((404.9 + 3375) / 10309.7)
=0.423427 / 0.366635
=1.1549

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2429.7 - 0 - 2856.6) / 10497.2
=-0.040668

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AVI has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 mean?
AVI (JSE:AVI) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AVI and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AVI ranks #600 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 32.4%.
Is AVI's Beneish M-Score too high?
AVI's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Based on the distribution chart, AVI ranks #600 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, AVI has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AVI's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, AVI ranks #600 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts AVI in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AVI and its competitors. AVI's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AVI stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AVI (JSE:AVI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R97.66, compared to a current price of R98.30 — trading 0.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. AVI's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AVI (JSE:AVI), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AVI (JSE:AVI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AVI stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R98.30 is trading 0.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R97.66. GuruFocus considers AVI to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:AVI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.72
  • GF Value™: R97.66 vs. price of R98.30 (0.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:AVI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AVI Business Description

Other Exchanges IZ6:Germany
Address 2 Harries Road, Illovo, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
AVI Ltd owns and manages a portfolio of various brands, with various product categories such as hot beverages, biscuits and snacks, frozen food, personal care products, cosmetics, and fashion supplies. These brands share the group's IT, finance, human resources, logistics, marketing, and procurement services. Its reportable segments are: Food and Beverage brands (comprising Entyce Beverages, Snackworks, and I&J), Fashion brands (comprising its Personal Care and Footwear & Apparel brands), and Corporate. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Food and Beverage brands segment, which includes its brands offering tea, coffee, creamer, sweet and savoury biscuits, baked and fried potatoes, maize snacks, seafood, etc. Geographically, it generates maximum revenue from South Africa.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:AVI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R98.30
Price
R97.66
GF Value