Barloworld (JSE:BAW) Beneish M-Score: -2.23 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


JSE:BAW Barloworld Ltd JSE:BAW
66 GF Score
Price R118.30
GF Value R90.93
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Barloworld Beneish M-Score?

Barloworld JSE:BAW 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:BAW with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of R90.93. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Barloworld's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:BAW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -2.31   Max: -0.16
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Barloworld was -0.16. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -2.31.


Barloworld Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Barloworld's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Barloworld Beneish M-Score Chart

Barloworld Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.05 -0.45 -2.35 -2.26 -2.23

Barloworld Semi-Annual Data
Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.26 0.00 -2.23 0.00

JSE:BAW vs GEV, ETN, PH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Barloworld's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barloworld Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Barloworld's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barloworld's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:BAW
66GF Score
Barloworld Ltd JSE:BAW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Barloworld Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Barloworld for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0589+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.1171+0.892 * 0.9307+0.115 * 1.0644
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.037065-0.327 * 0.9104
=-2.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R5,728 Mil.
Revenue was R41,908 Mil.
Gross Profit was R41,908 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R23,496 Mil.
Total Assets was R41,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R8,998 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,323 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R18,219 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R5,229 Mil.
Net Income was R1,900 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R373 Mil.
Total Receivables was R5,812 Mil.
Revenue was R45,028 Mil.
Gross Profit was R45,028 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R30,489 Mil.
Total Assets was R48,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R8,532 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,348 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R22,381 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R7,705 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5728 / 41908) / (5812 / 45028)
=0.13668 / 0.129075
=1.0589

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(45028 / 45028) / (41908 / 41908)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23496 + 8998) / 41198) / (1 - (30489 + 8532) / 48122)
=0.211272 / 0.189123
=1.1171

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=41908 / 45028
=0.9307

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1348 / (1348 + 8532)) / (1323 / (1323 + 8998))
=0.136437 / 0.128185
=1.0644

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 41908) / (0 / 45028)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5229 + 18219) / 41198) / ((7705 + 22381) / 48122)
=0.569154 / 0.625203
=0.9104

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1900 - 0 - 373) / 41198
=0.037065

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Barloworld has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 mean?
Barloworld (JSE:BAW) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Barloworld and its competitors.
Is Barloworld's Beneish M-Score too high?
Barloworld's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Overall, Barloworld has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Barloworld's Beneish M-Score compare to GEV and ETN?
Barloworld's Beneish M-Score of -2.23 can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Barloworld and its competitors. Barloworld's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Barloworld stock overvalued right now?
Barloworld (JSE:BAW) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.23. The stock's GF Value™ is R90.93, compared to a current price of R118.30 — trading 30.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Barloworld's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Barloworld (JSE:BAW), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Barloworld (JSE:BAW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Barloworld stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R118.30 is trading 30.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of R90.93.

Key valuation signals for JSE:BAW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.23
  • GF Value™: R90.93 vs. price of R118.30 (30.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:BAW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Barloworld Business Description

Address 61 Katherine Street, Sandton, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Barloworld Ltd is an industrial processing, distribution, and services company with two primary areas of focus: Industrial Equipment and Services and Consumer Industries (food and ingredient solutions). Industrial Equipment and related services offer earthmoving equipment, industrial services, and power systems. The Consumer Industries business provides large enterprises with the ingredients essential to the manufacturing of various products including food and beverages, paper, pharmaceuticals, building materials, and adhesives, among others. The company's business segment includes Equipments, which derives maximum revenue, Ingrain, and Others. Geographically, it derives its maximum revenue from South Africa and the rest from Australia, Russia, and Mongolia.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:BAW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R118.30
Price
R90.93
GF Value