CAFCA (JSE:CAC) Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:CAC CAFCA Ltd JSE:CAC
70 GF Score
Price R5.95
GF Value R16.43
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CAFCA Beneish M-Score?

CAFCA JSE:CAC 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:CAC with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of R16.43 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,926 Industrial Products companies, CAFCA ranks better than 82.02% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CAFCA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:CAC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.1   Med: -3.02   Max: 18.94
Current: -2.86

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CAFCA was 18.94. The lowest was -4.10. And the median was -3.02.


CAFCA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CAFCA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CAFCA Beneish M-Score Chart

CAFCA Annual Data
Trend Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.17 -4.10 0.00 18.94 -2.86

CAFCA Semi-Annual Data
Dec09 Dec10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 18.94 0.00 -2.86 0.00

JSE:CAC vs VRT, BE, NVT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, CAFCA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CAFCA Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, CAFCA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CAFCA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:CAC
70GF Score
CAFCA Ltd JSE:CAC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CAFCA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CAFCA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.849+0.528 * 1.8101+0.404 * 0+0.892 * 1.5442+0.115 * 0.0075
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0179+4.679 * -0.029045-0.327 * 1.3136
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R55.5 Mil.
Revenue was R688.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was R157.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R349.0 Mil.
Total Assets was R640.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R291.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R28.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R102.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R77.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R2.2 Mil.
Net Income was R32.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R51.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was R42.3 Mil.
Revenue was R445.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was R184.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R309.5 Mil.
Total Assets was R676.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R367.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R0.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R65.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R64.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(55.499 / 688.086) / (42.333 / 445.588)
=0.080657 / 0.095005
=0.849

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(184.077 / 445.588) / (157.036 / 688.086)
=0.41311 / 0.228221
=1.8101

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (349.027 + 291.123) / 640.15) / (1 - (309.528 + 367.151) / 676.678)
=0 / -1.0E-6
=0

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=688.086 / 445.588
=1.5442

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.246 / (0.246 + 367.151)) / (28.56 / (28.56 + 291.123))
=0.00067 / 0.089339
=0.0075

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(102.774 / 688.086) / (65.382 / 445.588)
=0.149362 / 0.146732
=1.0179

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2.178 + 77.804) / 640.15) / ((0 + 64.362) / 676.678)
=0.124943 / 0.095115
=1.3136

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(32.55 - 0 - 51.143) / 640.15
=-0.029045

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CAFCA has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 mean?
CAFCA (JSE:CAC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CAFCA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CAFCA ranks #526 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 18%.
Is CAFCA's Beneish M-Score too high?
CAFCA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Based on the distribution chart, CAFCA ranks #526 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, CAFCA has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CAFCA's Beneish M-Score compare to VRT and BE?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, CAFCA ranks #526 out of 2926 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places CAFCA in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CAFCA and its competitors. CAFCA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CAFCA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CAFCA (JSE:CAC) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R16.43, compared to a current price of R5.95 — trading 63.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. CAFCA's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CAFCA (JSE:CAC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CAFCA (JSE:CAC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CAFCA stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R5.95 is trading 63.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of R16.43. GuruFocus considers CAFCA to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:CAC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.86
  • GF Value™: R16.43 vs. price of R5.95 (63.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:CAC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CAFCA Business Description

Other Exchanges CAFCA.ZW:Zimbabwe
Address 54 Lytton Road, Workington, Harare, ZWE
CAFCA Ltd is a manufacturer of electrical cables and specializes in the production of power cables, control and instrumentation cables, domestic wiring cables, solar PV cables, overhead conductors, and specialized industrial cables. Its product categories include aluminium cables, flexible cables, power cables, solar cables, telecommunications cables, and wiring cables. The Company serves a broad customer base across utilities, mining, industrial manufacturers, construction companies, telecommunications providers, retailers hardware stores, and export clients. It operates mainly in Zimbabwe and exports across the SADC and East Africa regions.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:CAC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R5.95
Price
R16.43
GF Value