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Kumba Iron Ore (JSE:KIO) Beneish M-Score : -3.67 (As of Mar. 27, 2025)


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What is Kumba Iron Ore Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:KIO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.9   Med: -3.19   Max: -1.87
Current: -3.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kumba Iron Ore was -1.87. The lowest was -3.90. And the median was -3.19.


Kumba Iron Ore Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kumba Iron Ore Beneish M-Score Chart

Kumba Iron Ore Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.12 -3.42 -3.50 -1.87 -3.67

Kumba Iron Ore Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.50 - -1.87 - -3.67

Competitive Comparison of Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kumba Iron Ore's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Kumba Iron Ore Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kumba Iron Ore for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6684+0.528 * 1.0612+0.404 * 0.9632+0.892 * 0.7947+0.115 * 1.0014
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4999+4.679 * -0.147449-0.327 * 0.8132
=-3.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R5,229 Mil.
Revenue was R68,529 Mil.
Gross Profit was R58,050 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R32,859 Mil.
Total Assets was R98,746 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R56,149 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R5,713 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R16,619 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R12,080 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R70 Mil.
Net Income was R14,699 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R29,259 Mil.
Total Receivables was R9,845 Mil.
Revenue was R86,234 Mil.
Gross Profit was R77,517 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R39,501 Mil.
Total Assets was R98,724 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R49,115 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R5,005 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R13,943 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R14,759 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R179 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5229 / 68529) / (9845 / 86234)
=0.076303 / 0.114166
=0.6684

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(77517 / 86234) / (58050 / 68529)
=0.898915 / 0.847087
=1.0612

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (32859 + 56149) / 98746) / (1 - (39501 + 49115) / 98724)
=0.098617 / 0.102386
=0.9632

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=68529 / 86234
=0.7947

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5005 / (5005 + 49115)) / (5713 / (5713 + 56149))
=0.09248 / 0.092351
=1.0014

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16619 / 68529) / (13943 / 86234)
=0.24251 / 0.161688
=1.4999

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((70 + 12080) / 98746) / ((179 + 14759) / 98724)
=0.123043 / 0.151311
=0.8132

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14699 - 0 - 29259) / 98746
=-0.147449

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kumba Iron Ore has a M-score of -3.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Kumba Iron Ore Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kumba Iron Ore Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
144 Oxford Road, Rosebank, Melrose, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd is engaged in the exploration, mining, processing blending, and sale of iron ore to the global steel industry. The company primarily operates in South Africa, with mining operations in the Northern Cape and Limpopo provinces, as well as a head office in Centurion, Gauteng, and a port operation in Saldanha Bay, Western Cape. The company's flagship asset is the Sishen mine, which it holds a majority stake in, located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape Province. The Sishen mine is an opencast mine and produces the bulk of the group's iron ore, most of which is exported. It also holds interest in Kolomela mine. The company also generates revenue from Shipping operations. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from its products.