Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) Beneish M-Score: -2.15 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:NPH Northam Platinum Holdings Ltd JSE:NPH
87 GF Score
Price R243.22
GF Value R199.31
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Northam Platinum Holdings JSE:NPH +4.65% 87 Beneish M-Score is -2.15 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:NPH with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of R199.31 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Northam Platinum Holdings ranks worse than 56.5% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:NPH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.41   Med: -2.15   Max: 3.81
Current: -2.15

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northam Platinum Holdings was 3.81. The lowest was -3.41. And the median was -2.15.


Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Northam Platinum Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.33 3.81 -3.41 -2.12 -2.15

Northam Platinum Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.12 0.00 -2.15 0.00

JSE:NPH vs HL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:NPH
87GF Score
Northam Platinum Holdings Ltd JSE:NPH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northam Platinum Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1861+0.528 * 1.4356+0.404 * 1.2183+0.892 * 1.0694+0.115 * 1.0393
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7018+4.679 * -0.055921-0.327 * 1.049
=-2.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R2,218 Mil.
Revenue was R32,901 Mil.
Gross Profit was R3,594 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R17,651 Mil.
Total Assets was R58,077 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R38,182 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,498 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R7,326 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R11,068 Mil.
Net Income was R1,489 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R4,736 Mil.
Total Receivables was R1,748 Mil.
Revenue was R30,766 Mil.
Gross Profit was R4,824 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R17,744 Mil.
Total Assets was R54,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R34,563 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,411 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R9,736 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R6,574 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2217.592 / 32901.199) / (1748.315 / 30766.472)
=0.067402 / 0.056825
=1.1861

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4824.133 / 30766.472) / (3593.517 / 32901.199)
=0.156798 / 0.109221
=1.4356

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17651.333 + 38182.041) / 58076.881) / (1 - (17744.204 + 34562.545) / 54019.57)
=0.03863 / 0.031707
=1.2183

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=32901.199 / 30766.472
=1.0694

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1411.14 / (1411.14 + 34562.545)) / (1497.6 / (1497.6 + 38182.041))
=0.039227 / 0.037742
=1.0393

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1.324 / 32901.199) / (1.761 / 30766.472)
=4.0E-5 / 5.7E-5
=0.7018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11068.218 + 7325.65) / 58076.881) / ((6573.777 + 9736.095) / 54019.57)
=0.316716 / 0.301925
=1.049

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1488.772 - 0 - 4736.488) / 58076.881
=-0.055921

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northam Platinum Holdings has a M-score of -2.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.15 mean?
Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.15 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northam Platinum Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Northam Platinum Holdings ranks #387 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 56.5%.
Is Northam Platinum Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Northam Platinum Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. Based on the distribution chart, Northam Platinum Holdings ranks #387 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Northam Platinum Holdings has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northam Platinum Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Northam Platinum Holdings ranks #387 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Northam Platinum Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Northam Platinum Holdings and its competitors. Northam Platinum Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northam Platinum Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R199.31, compared to a current price of R243.22 — trading 22% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.15. Northam Platinum Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.15 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northam Platinum Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R243.22 is trading 22% above its estimated GF Value™ of R199.31. GuruFocus considers Northam Platinum Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:NPH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.15
  • GF Value™: R199.31 vs. price of R243.22 (22% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:NPH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Northam Platinum Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges NPTLF:USA7JR:Germany
Address Magwa Crescent West, Building 4, 1st Floor, Maxwell Office Park, Jukskei View, Midrand, Waterfall City, GT, ZAF, 2090
Northam Platinum Holdings Ltd is an integrated producer of platinum group metals. Its primary joint products are the platinum, palladium, rhodium and gold (4E). The primary consumers of these metals are the motor manufacturing industry, the jewelry industry, and other industrial sectors. Its segments include Northam Holdings, Zondereinde mine (being Northam Platinum), Booysendal mine, Eland mine and the U.S recycling operations. The maximum revenue for the company is generated from its Zondereinde mine segment.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:NPH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R243.22
Price
R199.31
GF Value