Netcare (JSE:NTC) Beneish M-Score: -2.57 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


JSE:NTC Netcare Ltd JSE:NTC
85 GF Score
Price R17.77
GF Value R16.79
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Netcare Beneish M-Score?

Netcare JSE:NTC +0.40% 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:NTC with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of R16.79 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 632 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Netcare ranks worse than 51.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Netcare's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:NTC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.9
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Netcare was -1.90. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.58.


Netcare Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Netcare's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Netcare Beneish M-Score Chart

Netcare Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.64 -2.59 -2.47 -2.57

Netcare Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.47 0.00 -2.57 0.00

JSE:NTC vs HCA, THC, DVA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Netcare's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Netcare Beneish M-Score vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Netcare's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Netcare's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:NTC
85GF Score
Netcare Ltd JSE:NTC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Netcare Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Netcare for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9734+0.528 * 0.9944+0.404 * 1.0399+0.892 * 1.0453+0.115 * 1.0092
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9965+4.679 * -0.024089-0.327 * 1.015
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R3,884 Mil.
Revenue was R26,344 Mil.
Gross Profit was R13,094 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R6,506 Mil.
Total Assets was R29,225 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R19,317 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,353 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R10,039 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R5,649 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R11,672 Mil.
Net Income was R1,743 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R2,447 Mil.
Total Receivables was R3,817 Mil.
Revenue was R25,202 Mil.
Gross Profit was R12,456 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R6,382 Mil.
Total Assets was R28,391 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R18,831 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,332 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R9,638 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R6,263 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R10,315 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3884 / 26344) / (3817 / 25202)
=0.147434 / 0.151456
=0.9734

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12456 / 25202) / (13094 / 26344)
=0.494246 / 0.497039
=0.9944

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6506 + 19317) / 29225) / (1 - (6382 + 18831) / 28391)
=0.116407 / 0.111937
=1.0399

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26344 / 25202
=1.0453

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1332 / (1332 + 18831)) / (1353 / (1353 + 19317))
=0.066062 / 0.065457
=1.0092

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10039 / 26344) / (9638 / 25202)
=0.381073 / 0.38243
=0.9965

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11672 + 5649) / 29225) / ((10315 + 6263) / 28391)
=0.592678 / 0.583917
=1.015

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1743 - 0 - 2447) / 29225
=-0.024089

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Netcare has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 mean?
Netcare (JSE:NTC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.57 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Netcare and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Netcare ranks #323 out of 632 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 51.1%.
Is Netcare's Beneish M-Score too high?
Netcare's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Based on the distribution chart, Netcare ranks #323 out of 632 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Netcare has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Netcare's Beneish M-Score compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Netcare ranks #323 out of 632 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Netcare in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Healthcare Providers & Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Netcare and its competitors. Netcare's current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Netcare stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Netcare (JSE:NTC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R16.79, compared to a current price of R17.77 — trading 5.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.57. Netcare's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Netcare (JSE:NTC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.57 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Netcare (JSE:NTC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Netcare stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R17.77 is trading 5.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of R16.79. GuruFocus considers Netcare to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:NTC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.57
  • GF Value™: R16.79 vs. price of R17.77 (5.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:NTC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Netcare Business Description

Other Exchanges NTCP.PFD:South Africa
Address 76 Maude Street, Corner West Street, Sandton 2196, Private Bag X34, Benmore, GT, ZAF, 2010
Netcare Ltd operates a network of hospitals in South Africa. Its network also includes emergency, cancer care, diagnostic support, primary care, and renal care services as well as occupational health and wellness services. The firm operates in two segments: Hospital and emergency services and Primary Care. The Hospital and emergency services segment contributes to majority of the firm's revenue. Netcare's services include Netcare appointmed TM, Netcare Cancer Care, Netcare Family Connect Line, Netcare Occupational Health and Netcare Pharmacy.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:NTC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R17.77
Price
R16.79
GF Value