Pick N Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


JSE:PIK Pick N Pay Stores Ltd JSE:PIK
65 GF Score
Price R20.76
GF Value R24.21
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score?

Pick N Pay Stores JSE:PIK +1.86% 65 Beneish M-Score is -3.00 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:PIK with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of R24.21 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, Pick N Pay Stores ranks better than 77.28% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:PIK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.32
Current: -3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pick N Pay Stores was -2.32. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.63.


Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Chart

Pick N Pay Stores Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.55 -3.07 -2.64 -3.00

Pick N Pay Stores Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.07 0.00 -2.64 0.00 -3.00

JSE:PIK vs DDS, M: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pick N Pay Stores's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:PIK
65GF Score
Pick N Pay Stores Ltd JSE:PIK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Pick N Pay Stores Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pick N Pay Stores for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8615+0.528 * 0.9723+0.404 * 1.0621+0.892 * 1.0104+0.115 * 0.9851
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0542+4.679 * -0.08539-0.327 * 0.9966
=-3.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R3,812 Mil.
Revenue was R120,290 Mil.
Gross Profit was R22,618 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R19,178 Mil.
Total Assets was R45,497 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R19,747 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R3,890 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R3,677 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R18,637 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R16,083 Mil.
Net Income was R-728 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R3,157 Mil.
Total Receivables was R4,379 Mil.
Revenue was R119,049 Mil.
Gross Profit was R21,764 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R20,718 Mil.
Total Assets was R46,807 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R19,723 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R3,816 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R3,452 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R18,613 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R17,229 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3812 / 120290) / (4379 / 119049)
=0.03169 / 0.036783
=0.8615

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(21764 / 119049) / (22618 / 120290)
=0.182815 / 0.188029
=0.9723

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (19178 + 19747) / 45497) / (1 - (20718 + 19723) / 46807)
=0.144449 / 0.136005
=1.0621

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=120290 / 119049
=1.0104

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3816 / (3816 + 19723)) / (3890 / (3890 + 19747))
=0.162114 / 0.164572
=0.9851

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3677 / 120290) / (3452 / 119049)
=0.030568 / 0.028996
=1.0542

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16083 + 18637) / 45497) / ((17229 + 18613) / 46807)
=0.763127 / 0.76574
=0.9966

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-728 - 0 - 3157) / 45497
=-0.08539

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pick N Pay Stores has a M-score of -3.00 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.00 mean?
Pick N Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.00 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pick N Pay Stores and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Pick N Pay Stores ranks #247 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 22.7%.
Is Pick N Pay Stores' Beneish M-Score too high?
Pick N Pay Stores' current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. Based on the distribution chart, Pick N Pay Stores ranks #247 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Pick N Pay Stores has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pick N Pay Stores' Beneish M-Score compare to DDS and M?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Pick N Pay Stores ranks #247 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Pick N Pay Stores in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pick N Pay Stores and its competitors. Pick N Pay Stores's current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pick N Pay Stores stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pick N Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R24.21, compared to a current price of R20.76 — trading 14.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. Pick N Pay Stores' overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pick N Pay Stores (JSE:PIK), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.00 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pick N Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pick N Pay Stores stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R20.76 is trading 14.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of R24.21. GuruFocus considers Pick N Pay Stores to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:PIK:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.00
  • GF Value™: R24.21 vs. price of R20.76 (14.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:PIK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pick N Pay Stores Business Description

Other Exchanges PKPYY:USAPIK:Germany
Address 101 Rosmead Avenue, Pick n Pay Office Park, Kenilworth, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7708
Pick N Pay Stores Ltd is a South African multiformat and multichannel retailer. The company operates in South Africa, Namibia, Botswana, Zambia, Mauritius, Swaziland, and Lesotho. The company offers food and groceries, clothing, general merchandise, and services across multiple store formats, both franchised and owned. The customer base is mainly represented by middle-income South African consumer. The portfolio of stores is composed of supermarkets, hypermarkets, local shops, express shops, clothing shops, liquor stores, and others.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:PIK

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R20.76
Price
R24.21
GF Value