Spur (JSE:SUR) Beneish M-Score: -2.23 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


JSE:SUR Spur Corp Ltd JSE:SUR
90 GF Score
Price R41.71
GF Value R40.24
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Spur Beneish M-Score?

Spur JSE:SUR +3.22% 90 Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:SUR with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of R40.24 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 356 Restaurants companies, Spur ranks worse than 83.99% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spur's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:SUR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.04   Max: -0.71
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spur was -0.71. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.04.


Spur Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Spur's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Spur Beneish M-Score Chart

Spur Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.71 -2.47 -2.28 -1.68 -2.23

Spur Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.68 0.00 -2.23 0.00

JSE:SUR vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Spur's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spur Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Spur's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spur's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:SUR
90GF Score
Spur Corp Ltd JSE:SUR
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Spur Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Spur for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9311+0.528 * 0.9814+0.404 * 0.9073+0.892 * 1.1121+0.115 * 0.7809
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9321+4.679 * 0.05975-0.327 * 1.0116
=-2.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R142 Mil.
Revenue was R3,863 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,261 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R867 Mil.
Total Assets was R1,534 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R160 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R37 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R594 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R485 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R53 Mil.
Net Income was R273 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R181 Mil.
Total Receivables was R138 Mil.
Revenue was R3,474 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,113 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R713 Mil.
Total Assets was R1,388 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R169 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R29 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R573 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R428 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R53 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(142.421 / 3863.166) / (137.54 / 3473.648)
=0.036866 / 0.039595
=0.9311

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1113.004 / 3473.648) / (1261.312 / 3863.166)
=0.320414 / 0.326497
=0.9814

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (867.214 + 159.952) / 1533.937) / (1 - (713.486 + 169.028) / 1387.906)
=0.330373 / 0.36414
=0.9073

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3863.166 / 3473.648
=1.1121

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(29.103 / (29.103 + 169.028)) / (37.058 / (37.058 + 159.952))
=0.146888 / 0.188102
=0.7809

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(593.816 / 3863.166) / (572.858 / 3473.648)
=0.153712 / 0.164915
=0.9321

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((52.897 + 485.002) / 1533.937) / ((52.939 + 428.185) / 1387.906)
=0.350666 / 0.346655
=1.0116

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(273.067 - 0 - 181.415) / 1533.937
=0.05975

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Spur has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 mean?
Spur (JSE:SUR) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.23 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Spur and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Spur ranks #299 out of 356 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 84%.
Is Spur's Beneish M-Score too high?
Spur's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Based on the distribution chart, Spur ranks #299 out of 356 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Spur has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Spur's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Spur ranks #299 out of 356 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Spur in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Spur and its competitors. Spur's current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Spur stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Spur (JSE:SUR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R40.24, compared to a current price of R41.71 — trading 3.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.23. Spur's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Spur (JSE:SUR), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.23 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Spur (JSE:SUR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Spur stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R41.71 is trading 3.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R40.24. GuruFocus considers Spur to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:SUR:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.23
  • GF Value™: R40.24 vs. price of R41.71 (3.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:SUR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Spur Business Description

Address 14 Edison Way, Century Gate Business Park, Century City, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7441
Spur Corp Ltd is a South African multi-brand restaurant franchisor. The group operates as franchisor for the Spur Steak Ranches, Panarottis Pizza Pasta, John Dory's Fish Grill Sushi, The Hussar Grill, RocoMamas (including RocoGo), Casa Bella, Nikos, Doppio Zero and Piza e Vino brands. The company's segment includes South Africa and International segment. South Africa segment include: Franchise, Manufacturing and distribution, Retail company stores, Marketing and Other. International segment include Australasia, Rest of Africa and Middle East and Marketing. Key revenue is generated from South Africa segment.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:SUR

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R41.71
Price
R40.24
GF Value