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Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) Beneish M-Score : -2.60 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:CPP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -1.93   Max: -1.57
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Collins Property Group was -1.57. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -1.93.


Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Collins Property Group Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.04 -1.70 -1.57 -2.60

Collins Property Group Semi-Annual Data
Feb14 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.57 - -2.60 -

Competitive Comparison of Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Collins Property Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4974+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.1023+0.892 * 1.0214+0.115 * 0.0567
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.079893-0.327 * 0.9499
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb23) TTM:Last Year (Feb22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R291 Mil.
Revenue was R1,147 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,147 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R634 Mil.
Total Assets was R12,220 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R44 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,025 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R5,819 Mil.
Net Income was R158 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R-818 Mil.
Total Receivables was R572 Mil.
Revenue was R1,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,123 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R1,526 Mil.
Total Assets was R17,181 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R2,288 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R7,841 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(290.756 / 1147.008) / (572.242 / 1122.949)
=0.253491 / 0.509589
=0.4974

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1122.949 / 1122.949) / (1147.008 / 1147.008)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (633.962 + 43.859) / 12220.475) / (1 - (1525.997 + 932.491) / 17181.123)
=0.944534 / 0.856908
=1.1023

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1147.008 / 1122.949
=1.0214

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.638 / (8.638 + 932.491)) / (8.474 / (8.474 + 43.859))
=0.009178 / 0.161925
=0.0567

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1147.008) / (0 / 1122.949)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5819.238 + 1025.009) / 12220.475) / ((7841.475 + 2288.067) / 17181.123)
=0.560064 / 0.589574
=0.9499

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(158.459 - 0 - -817.868) / 12220.475
=0.079893

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Collins Property Group has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Richefond Circle, Ridgeside Office Park, Umhlanga, NL, ZAF, 4319
Collins Property Group Ltd operates as an investment holding company, with interests in real properties, service offices, and financial services. Its activities include the development and management of commercial and residential real estate. It operates through the following segments: Property Austria; Property Namibia; Property rest of Africa; Property South Africa and Other. Its revenue includes rental income, initiation fees, interest income, other fee income and service charges, and revenue from hotel operations.

Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) Headlines