Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) Beneish M-Score: -1.63 (As of Jul. 05, 2026)


JSE:CPP Collins Property Group Ltd JSE:CPP
63 GF Score
Price R10.95
GF Value R9.14
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score?

Collins Property Group JSE:CPP +3.30% 63 Beneish M-Score is -1.63 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:CPP with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of R9.14 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,680 Real Estate companies, Collins Property Group ranks worse than 77.26% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.63 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:CPP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -2.21   Max: -1.57
Current: -1.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Collins Property Group was -1.57. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.21.


Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Collins Property Group Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.57 -2.60 -2.37 -2.74 -1.63

Collins Property Group Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 0.00 -2.74 0.00 -1.63

JSE:CPP vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:CPP
63GF Score
Collins Property Group Ltd JSE:CPP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Collins Property Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Collins Property Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5794+0.528 * 0.8895+0.404 * 0.965+0.892 * 1.0456+0.115 * 1.2349
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0416+4.679 * 0.068721-0.327 * 0.9769
=-1.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R119 Mil.
Revenue was R1,322 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,048 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R769 Mil.
Total Assets was R12,914 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R37 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R818 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R5,843 Mil.
Net Income was R950 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R62 Mil.
Total Receivables was R72 Mil.
Revenue was R1,265 Mil.
Gross Profit was R892 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R313 Mil.
Total Assets was R12,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R34 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R445 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R5,995 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(118.773 / 1322.258) / (71.919 / 1264.584)
=0.089826 / 0.056872
=1.5794

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(891.612 / 1264.584) / (1048.119 / 1322.258)
=0.705063 / 0.792674
=0.8895

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (768.621 + 37.269) / 12913.849) / (1 - (312.629 + 33.542) / 12198.102)
=0.937595 / 0.971621
=0.965

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1322.258 / 1264.584
=1.0456

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.519 / (8.519 + 33.542)) / (7.312 / (7.312 + 37.269))
=0.202539 / 0.164016
=1.2349

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6.96 / 1322.258) / (6.391 / 1264.584)
=0.005264 / 0.005054
=1.0416

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5842.744 + 817.589) / 12913.849) / ((5994.68 + 445.285) / 12198.102)
=0.515751 / 0.527948
=0.9769

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(949.58 - 0 - 62.133) / 12913.849
=0.068721

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Collins Property Group has a M-score of -1.63 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.63 mean?
Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.63 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Collins Property Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Collins Property Group ranks #1298 out of 1680 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 77.3%.
Is Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Collins Property Group's current Beneish M-Score is -1.63. Based on the distribution chart, Collins Property Group ranks #1298 out of 1680 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Collins Property Group has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Collins Property Group's Beneish M-Score compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Collins Property Group ranks #1298 out of 1680 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Collins Property Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Collins Property Group and its competitors. Collins Property Group's current Beneish M-Score is -1.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Collins Property Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R9.14, compared to a current price of R10.95 — trading 19.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.63. Collins Property Group's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.63 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Collins Property Group (JSE:CPP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Property Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R10.95 is trading 19.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of R9.14. GuruFocus considers Collins Property Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:CPP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.63
  • GF Value™: R9.14 vs. price of R10.95 (19.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:CPP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Collins Property Group Business Description

Address 1 Richefond Circle, Ridgeside Office Park, Umhlanga, NL, ZAF, 4319
Collins Property Group Ltd is a property investment holding company with main focus areas in South Africa and the United Kingdom. The company is a property developer and investor engaged in the development of distribution centres, warehouses, and retail centres. It operates through the following segments: Property - Offshore, Property - Namibia, Property - South Africa, and Other. The majority of revenue is derived from the Property - South Africa segment. Its revenue comprises rental income and real estate investment trust distribution.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:CPP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R10.95
Price
R9.14
GF Value