Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL) Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:VAL Valterra Platinum Ltd JSE:VAL
79 GF Score
Price R1,130.00
GF Value R809.40
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Valterra Platinum Beneish M-Score?

Valterra Platinum JSE:VAL +4.29% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:VAL with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of R809.40 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Valterra Platinum ranks better than 79.12% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:VAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.37   Med: -2.84   Max: -0.85
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Valterra Platinum was -0.85. The lowest was -3.37. And the median was -2.84.


Valterra Platinum Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Valterra Platinum Beneish M-Score Chart

Valterra Platinum Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.16 -1.80 -2.83 -2.94

Valterra Platinum Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.80 0.00 -2.83 0.00 -2.94

JSE:VAL vs HL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valterra Platinum Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:VAL
79GF Score
Valterra Platinum Ltd JSE:VAL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Valterra Platinum Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Valterra Platinum for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0375+0.528 * 0.6809+0.404 * 0.8847+0.892 * 1.0674+0.115 * 1.0168
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.858+4.679 * -0.078707-0.327 * 0.9933
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R4,095 Mil.
Revenue was R116,330 Mil.
Gross Profit was R28,558 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R52,690 Mil.
Total Assets was R170,670 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R108,867 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R8,198 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1,230 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R44,874 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R384 Mil.
Net Income was R15,420 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R28,853 Mil.
Total Receivables was R3,698 Mil.
Revenue was R108,987 Mil.
Gross Profit was R18,218 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R58,410 Mil.
Total Assets was R170,943 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R102,216 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R7,836 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1,343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R45,101 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R535 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4095 / 116330) / (3698 / 108987)
=0.035202 / 0.033931
=1.0375

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18218 / 108987) / (28558 / 116330)
=0.167158 / 0.245491
=0.6809

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (52690 + 108867) / 170670) / (1 - (58410 + 102216) / 170943)
=0.053395 / 0.060353
=0.8847

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=116330 / 108987
=1.0674

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7836 / (7836 + 102216)) / (8198 / (8198 + 108867))
=0.071203 / 0.070029
=1.0168

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1230 / 116330) / (1343 / 108987)
=0.010573 / 0.012323
=0.858

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((384 + 44874) / 170670) / ((535 + 45101) / 170943)
=0.265178 / 0.266966
=0.9933

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(15420 - 0 - 28853) / 170670
=-0.078707

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Valterra Platinum has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.94 mean?
Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Valterra Platinum and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Valterra Platinum ranks #143 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 20.9%.
Is Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score too high?
Valterra Platinum's current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. Based on the distribution chart, Valterra Platinum ranks #143 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Valterra Platinum has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valterra Platinum's Beneish M-Score compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Valterra Platinum ranks #143 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Valterra Platinum in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Valterra Platinum and its competitors. Valterra Platinum's current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valterra Platinum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R809.40, compared to a current price of R1,130.00 — trading 39.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. Valterra Platinum's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valterra Platinum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R1,130.00 is trading 39.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of R809.40. GuruFocus considers Valterra Platinum to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:VAL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.94
  • GF Value™: R809.40 vs. price of R1,130.00 (39.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:VAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Valterra Platinum Business Description

Address 144 Oxford Road, Melrose, Rosebank, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Valterra Platinum Ltd supplies platinum group metals (PGMs). It provides services across the value chain, including mining, recycling, and trading of metals. Its products include PGMs such as platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; base metals such as copper, nickel, cobalt sulphate, and chrome; and other by-products such as gold and sodium sulphate, with operations across different stages of production. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the sale of Platinum. Geographically, it generates the maximum revenue from Japan.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:VAL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R1,130.00
Price
R809.40
GF Value