KALU (Kaiser Aluminum) Beneish M-Score: -2.24 (As of Aug. 20, 2026)

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KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corp KALU
70 GF Score
Price $149.86
GF Value $103.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kaiser Aluminum Beneish M-Score?

Kaiser Aluminum KALU -4.54% 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates KALU with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $103.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 683 Metals & Mining companies, Kaiser Aluminum ranks worse than 50.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KALU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.52   Med: -2.66   Max: -0.44
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kaiser Aluminum was -0.44. The lowest was -3.52. And the median was -2.66.


Kaiser Aluminum Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kaiser Aluminum Beneish M-Score Chart

Kaiser Aluminum Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.44 -2.11 -3.07 -2.75 -2.44

Kaiser Aluminum Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.71 -2.44 -2.28 -2.24

KALU vs CSTM, CENX, AA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kaiser Aluminum Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KALU
70GF Score
Kaiser Aluminum Corp KALU
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kaiser Aluminum Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kaiser Aluminum for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0008+0.528 * 0.8224+0.404 * 0.9157+0.892 * 1.3283+0.115 * 0.9206
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.855+4.679 * 0.009451-0.327 * 0.9637
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $647 Mil.
Revenue was 1256.6 + 1106.8 + 929 + 843.5 = $4,136 Mil.
Gross Profit was 199 + 163.6 + 123.4 + 114.7 = $601 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,602 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,910 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,167 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $123 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $136 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $642 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,060 Mil.
Net Income was 96.8 + 62.5 + 28.2 + 39.5 = $227 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.9 + -1.2 + -3.3 + 11.2 = $14 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 59.5 + 87.9 + -20.6 + 59.1 = $186 Mil.
Total Receivables was $487 Mil.
Revenue was 823.1 + 777.4 + 765.4 + 747.7 = $3,114 Mil.
Gross Profit was 100.3 + 104 + 95.9 + 71.7 = $372 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,151 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,513 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,229 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $118 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $119 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $426 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,099 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(647.3 / 4135.9) / (486.9 / 3113.6)
=0.156508 / 0.156378
=1.0008

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(371.9 / 3113.6) / (600.7 / 4135.9)
=0.119444 / 0.14524
=0.8224

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1601.8 + 1167) / 2909.6) / (1 - (1150.6 + 1229.4) / 2512.8)
=0.048392 / 0.052849
=0.9157

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4135.9 / 3113.6
=1.3283

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(118.2 / (118.2 + 1229.4)) / (122.9 / (122.9 + 1167))
=0.087711 / 0.095279
=0.9206

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(135.6 / 4135.9) / (119.4 / 3113.6)
=0.032786 / 0.038348
=0.855

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1059.7 + 641.9) / 2909.6) / ((1098.7 + 426.2) / 2512.8)
=0.584823 / 0.606853
=0.9637

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(227 - 13.6 - 185.9) / 2909.6
=0.009451

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kaiser Aluminum has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 mean?
Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 as of Aug. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kaiser Aluminum and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kaiser Aluminum ranks #344 out of 683 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 50.4%.
Is Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kaiser Aluminum's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Based on the distribution chart, Kaiser Aluminum ranks #344 out of 683 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Kaiser Aluminum has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kaiser Aluminum's Beneish M-Score compare to CSTM and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Kaiser Aluminum ranks #344 out of 683 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kaiser Aluminum in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kaiser Aluminum and its competitors. Kaiser Aluminum's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kaiser Aluminum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $103.20, compared to a current price of $149.86 — trading 45.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Kaiser Aluminum's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kaiser Aluminum (KALU), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kaiser Aluminum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $149.86 is trading 45.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $103.20. GuruFocus considers Kaiser Aluminum to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KALU:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.24
  • GF Value™: $103.20 vs. price of $149.86 (45.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KALU stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kaiser Aluminum Business Description

Other Exchanges KLU1:Germany
Address 1550 West McEwen Drive, Suite 500, Franklin, TN, USA, 37067
Kaiser Aluminum Corp specializes in the production of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products, such as aluminum plate and sheet, bare and coated coil and extruded and drawn products, for the end market applications: Aero/HS Products; Packaging; GE Products; and Automotive Extrusions. Its products include fabricated aluminum mill products such as flat-rolled (plate, sheet, and coil), extruded (rod, bar, hollows, and shapes), drawn (rod, bar, pipe, tube and wire) and certain cast aluminum products. Geographically, the company generates majority of its revenue from the United States.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KALU

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$149.86
Price
$103.20
GF Value