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Agriauto Industries (KAR:AGIL) Beneish M-Score : -2.25 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Agriauto Industries Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:AGIL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3781.95   Med: -1.98   Max: 0.07
Current: -2.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Agriauto Industries was 0.07. The lowest was -3781.95. And the median was -1.98.


Agriauto Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agriauto Industries Beneish M-Score Chart

Agriauto Industries Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.88 -1.77 -1.63 -1.47 -3.47

Agriauto Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -3.72 -3.47 -2.77 -2.25

Competitive Comparison of Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agriauto Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Agriauto Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Agriauto Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6226+0.528 * 2.4527+0.404 * 1.3975+0.892 * 0.5759+0.115 * 1.0377
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6196+4.679 * -0.160701-0.327 * 1.1285
=-2.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨1,273 Mil.
Revenue was 1626.784 + 1753.483 + 1855.757 + 1980.91 = ₨7,217 Mil.
Gross Profit was -38.893 + 174.805 + 36.586 + 129.078 = ₨302 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨5,069 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨9,499 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨4,312 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨458 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨262 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨2,912 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨577 Mil.
Net Income was -183.01 + 6.02 + 98.285 + -111.463 = ₨-190 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -138.311 + -193.492 + 593.334 + 1074.799 = ₨1,336 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨1,363 Mil.
Revenue was 2290.802 + 2187.049 + 3766.845 + 4287.114 = ₨12,532 Mil.
Gross Profit was 154.949 + 221.571 + 359.386 + 548.515 = ₨1,284 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨6,019 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨9,268 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨3,167 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨350 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨281 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨2,300 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨717 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1273.421 / 7216.934) / (1362.772 / 12531.81)
=0.176449 / 0.108745
=1.6226

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1284.421 / 12531.81) / (301.576 / 7216.934)
=0.102493 / 0.041787
=2.4527

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5068.835 + 4312.225) / 9498.982) / (1 - (6018.997 + 3167.165) / 9268.491)
=0.012414 / 0.008883
=1.3975

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7216.934 / 12531.81
=0.5759

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(350.412 / (350.412 + 3167.165)) / (457.921 / (457.921 + 4312.225))
=0.099617 / 0.095997
=1.0377

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(261.885 / 7216.934) / (280.786 / 12531.81)
=0.036288 / 0.022406
=1.6196

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((576.811 + 2912.212) / 9498.982) / ((717.146 + 2299.674) / 9268.491)
=0.367305 / 0.325492
=1.1285

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-190.168 - 0 - 1336.33) / 9498.982
=-0.160701

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Agriauto Industries has a M-score of -2.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Agriauto Industries Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Agriauto Industries (KAR:AGIL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5th Floor, House of Habib, 3 JCHS, Block-7/8, Main Shahrah-e-Faisal, Karachi, PAK
Agriauto Industries Ltd is a manufacturer of automotive components. It is engaged in the manufacturing and sales of components for automotive vehicles, motor cycles, and agricultural tractors. The company's product portfolio includes Shock Absorbers and Struts; Motorcycle Shock Absorber and Parts; Sheet Metal Press Parts; Tractor Parts and Other Parts.

Agriauto Industries (KAR:AGIL) Headlines

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