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Ismail Industries (KAR:ISIL) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Ismail Industries Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:ISIL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.19   Max: -1.23
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ismail Industries was -1.23. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.19.


Ismail Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ismail Industries Beneish M-Score Chart

Ismail Industries Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.50 -1.89 -1.89 -2.08

Ismail Industries Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.53 -2.06 -2.17 -2.08 -2.40

Competitive Comparison of Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score

For the Confectioners subindustry, Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ismail Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ismail Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ismail Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1636+0.528 * 1.0214+0.404 * 1.0851+0.892 * 1.1829+0.115 * 0.8035
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0539+4.679 * -0.052528-0.327 * 1.0086
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨30,575 Mil.
Revenue was 31206.091 + 24874.169 + 30819.526 + 31325.399 = ₨118,225 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6116.304 + 5402.966 + 5845.347 + 6681.707 = ₨24,046 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨59,689 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨109,064 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨45,085 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨3,841 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨6,787 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨60,732 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨22,599 Mil.
Net Income was 748.463 + 112.853 + 1326.237 + 1735.029 = ₨3,923 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2088.991 + 697.202 + 2994.951 + 3870.312 = ₨9,651 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨22,212 Mil.
Revenue was 29948.447 + 24999.204 + 23238.601 + 21757.433 = ₨99,944 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6390.032 + 5319.24 + 4648.926 + 4404.255 = ₨20,762 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨47,703 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨90,497 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨39,514 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨2,660 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨5,444 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨41,454 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨27,105 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(30574.937 / 118225.185) / (22212.414 / 99943.685)
=0.258616 / 0.222249
=1.1636

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20762.453 / 99943.685) / (24046.324 / 118225.185)
=0.207742 / 0.203394
=1.0214

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (59689.18 + 45085.461) / 109063.722) / (1 - (47703.394 + 39513.605) / 90496.775)
=0.039326 / 0.036242
=1.0851

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=118225.185 / 99943.685
=1.1829

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2659.986 / (2659.986 + 39513.605)) / (3840.551 / (3840.551 + 45085.461))
=0.063072 / 0.078497
=0.8035

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6786.565 / 118225.185) / (5443.775 / 99943.685)
=0.057404 / 0.054468
=1.0539

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((22599.322 + 60731.731) / 109063.722) / ((27104.868 + 41453.503) / 90496.775)
=0.764058 / 0.757578
=1.0086

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3922.582 - 0 - 9651.456) / 109063.722
=-0.052528

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ismail Industries has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ismail Industries Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ismail Industries Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
17, Bangalore Town, Main Shahrah-e-Faisal, Karachi, PAK, 75350
Ismail Industries Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and trading of sugar confectionery items, biscuits, potato chips, and cast polypropylene film under the brands of CandyLand, Bisconni, SnackCity, and Astro Films respectively. Its operating segments are the Food segment and Plastic segment.

Ismail Industries Headlines

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