Lucky Cement (KAR:LUCK) Beneish M-Score: -2.04 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


KAR:LUCK Lucky Cement Ltd KAR:LUCK
90 GF Score
Price ₨467.75
GF Value ₨266.89
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Lucky Cement Beneish M-Score?

Lucky Cement KAR:LUCK +2.25% 90 Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:LUCK with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨266.89 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 388 Building Materials companies, Lucky Cement ranks worse than 83.25% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:LUCK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -2.37   Max: 0.27
Current: -2.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lucky Cement was 0.27. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.37.


Lucky Cement Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lucky Cement Beneish M-Score Chart

Lucky Cement Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 0.27 -2.19 -2.40 -2.22

Lucky Cement Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.22 -2.34 -2.03 -2.04

KAR:LUCK vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lucky Cement Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:LUCK
90GF Score
Lucky Cement Ltd KAR:LUCK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lucky Cement Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lucky Cement for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9376+0.528 * 1.1528+0.404 * 1.0547+0.892 * 1.1297+0.115 * 1.7075
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7686+4.679 * 0.025913-0.327 * 0.8766
=-2.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨89,732 Mil.
Revenue was 130239.679 + 123490.157 + 123595.449 + 125499.756 = ₨502,825 Mil.
Gross Profit was 30712.96 + 31472.021 + 31481.198 + 36902.949 = ₨130,569 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨378,718 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨794,551 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨301,806 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨5,105 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨15,327 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨198,679 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨105,727 Mil.
Net Income was 19072.194 + 22619.427 + 21994.785 + 19642.59 = ₨83,329 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 19442.976 + -4105.795 + 28098.876 + 19303.37 = ₨62,739 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨84,717 Mil.
Revenue was 108335.896 + 112853.575 + 111625.444 + 112288.03 = ₨445,103 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29401.901 + 33388.155 + 31729.615 + 38716.223 = ₨133,236 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨322,690 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨725,701 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨304,263 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨8,893 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨17,652 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨195,571 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨121,606 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(89732.138 / 502825.041) / (84717.3 / 445102.945)
=0.178456 / 0.190332
=0.9376

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(133235.894 / 445102.945) / (130569.128 / 502825.041)
=0.299337 / 0.259671
=1.1528

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (378717.695 + 301805.65) / 794551.115) / (1 - (322690.253 + 304262.632) / 725701.203)
=0.143512 / 0.136073
=1.0547

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=502825.041 / 445102.945
=1.1297

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8893.434 / (8893.434 + 304262.632)) / (5104.666 / (5104.666 + 301805.65))
=0.028399 / 0.016632
=1.7075

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15327.417 / 502825.041) / (17652.18 / 445102.945)
=0.030483 / 0.039659
=0.7686

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((105727.354 + 198679.459) / 794551.115) / ((121605.814 + 195570.994) / 725701.203)
=0.383118 / 0.437063
=0.8766

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(83328.996 - 0 - 62739.427) / 794551.115
=0.025913

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lucky Cement has a M-score of -2.04 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 mean?
Lucky Cement (KAR:LUCK) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lucky Cement and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lucky Cement ranks #323 out of 388 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 83.2%.
Is Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score too high?
Lucky Cement's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. Based on the distribution chart, Lucky Cement ranks #323 out of 388 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Lucky Cement has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lucky Cement's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, Lucky Cement ranks #323 out of 388 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Lucky Cement in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lucky Cement and its competitors. Lucky Cement's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lucky Cement stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lucky Cement (KAR:LUCK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨266.89, compared to a current price of ₨467.75 — trading 75.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. Lucky Cement's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lucky Cement (KAR:LUCK), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lucky Cement (KAR:LUCK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lucky Cement stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨467.75 is trading 75.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨266.89. GuruFocus considers Lucky Cement to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:LUCK:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.04
  • GF Value™: ₨266.89 vs. price of ₨467.75 (75.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:LUCK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lucky Cement Business Description

Address A. Aziz Hashim Tabba Street, 6-A Muhammad Ali Housing Society, Karachi, SD, PAK, 75350
Lucky Cement Ltd manufactures Ordinary Portland Cement and Sulphate Resistant Cement. Its segments include cement, polyester, soda ash, pharma, life science and chemicals, automobile and mobile phone assembly, power generation, and others. The reportable Units are Soda Ash, Pharma, Life Sciences, and Chemicals. The company produces various cement variants tailored to climatic conditions, with brands for the Northern region including Lucky Cement, Lucky Supreme SRC, and Block Cement, as well as brands for the Southern region including Lucky Gold, Lucky Star, and Raj Cement.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:LUCK

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨467.75
Price
₨266.89
GF Value