Avation (LSE:AVAP) Beneish M-Score: -3.92 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LSE:AVAP Avation PLC LSE:AVAP
65 GF Score
Price £1.38
GF Value £1.49
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Avation Beneish M-Score?

Avation LSE:AVAP +0.36% 65 Beneish M-Score is -3.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:AVAP with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of £1.49 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, Avation ranks better than 94.51% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avation's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:AVAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.92   Med: -2.04   Max: 1.49
Current: -3.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Avation was 1.49. The lowest was -3.92. And the median was -2.04.


Avation Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Avation's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Avation Beneish M-Score Chart

Avation Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.45 -2.84 -1.93 -2.18 -3.92

Avation Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.18 0.00 -3.92 0.00

LSE:AVAP vs URI, SUNB, AER: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Avation's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avation Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Avation's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avation's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LSE:AVAP
65GF Score
Avation PLC LSE:AVAP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Avation Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Avation for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4564+0.528 * -0.1786+0.404 * 0.8047+0.892 * 1.1899+0.115 * 0.9016
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.769+4.679 * -0.090041-0.327 * 1.058
=-3.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was £6.64 Mil.
Revenue was £83.69 Mil.
Gross Profit was £20.08 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £182.14 Mil.
Total Assets was £812.13 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £552.12 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £30.17 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £4.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £140.66 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £429.65 Mil.
Net Income was £-5.69 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £67.44 Mil.
Total Receivables was £12.23 Mil.
Revenue was £70.33 Mil.
Gross Profit was £-3.01 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £145.30 Mil.
Total Assets was £897.86 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £645.59 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £31.64 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £4.37 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £104.27 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £491.67 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6.644 / 83.689) / (12.233 / 70.333)
=0.079389 / 0.17393
=0.4564

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-3.014 / 70.333) / (20.077 / 83.689)
=-0.042853 / 0.2399
=-0.1786

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (182.142 + 552.121) / 812.126) / (1 - (145.301 + 645.587) / 897.864)
=0.095876 / 0.119145
=0.8047

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=83.689 / 70.333
=1.1899

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(31.637 / (31.637 + 645.587)) / (30.17 / (30.17 + 552.121))
=0.046716 / 0.051813
=0.9016

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3.996 / 83.689) / (4.367 / 70.333)
=0.047748 / 0.06209
=0.769

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((429.646 + 140.659) / 812.126) / ((491.667 + 104.268) / 897.864)
=0.702237 / 0.663725
=1.058

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-5.687 - 0 - 67.438) / 812.126
=-0.090041

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Avation has a M-score of -3.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.92 mean?
Avation (LSE:AVAP) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Avation and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Avation ranks #56 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 5.5%.
Is Avation's Beneish M-Score too high?
Avation's current Beneish M-Score is -3.92. Based on the distribution chart, Avation ranks #56 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Avation has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Avation's Beneish M-Score compare to URI and SUNB?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Avation ranks #56 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Avation in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Avation and its competitors. Avation's current Beneish M-Score is -3.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Avation stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avation (LSE:AVAP) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is £1.49, compared to a current price of £1.38 — trading 7.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.92. Avation's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Avation (LSE:AVAP), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.92 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Avation (LSE:AVAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avation stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £1.38 is trading 7.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of £1.49. GuruFocus considers Avation to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:AVAP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.92
  • GF Value™: £1.49 vs. price of £1.38 (7.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:AVAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Avation Business Description

Other Exchanges AVAPl:UK9K0:Germany
Address 65 Kampong Bahru Road, No. 01-01, Singapore, SGP, 169370
Avation PLC is a commercial passenger aircraft leasing company that owns a fleet of aircraft that it leases to airlines across the world. The company's fleet includes Airbus A330, A321, A320, and A220 aircraft, B777-300ER aircraft, and ATR 72 aircraft. Some of its customers include EasyJet, EVA Air, Philippine Airlines, Alliance Air India, and VietJet Air among others. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from its customers in the Asia Pacific region and the rest from Europe.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:AVAP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£1.38
Price
£1.49
GF Value