AG Barr (LSE:BAG) Beneish M-Score: -2.54 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LSE:BAG AG Barr PLC LSE:BAG
88 GF Score
Price £6.27
GF Value £6.96
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AG Barr Beneish M-Score?

AG Barr LSE:BAG +1.46% 88 Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:BAG with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of £6.96 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 109 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, AG Barr ranks better than 53.21% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AG Barr's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:BAG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AG Barr was -2.17. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.58.


AG Barr Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AG Barr's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AG Barr Beneish M-Score Chart

AG Barr Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.17 -2.43 -2.39 -2.54

AG Barr Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 0.00 -2.39 0.00 -2.54

LSE:BAG vs KO, PEP, MNST: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, AG Barr's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AG Barr Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, AG Barr's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AG Barr's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LSE:BAG
88GF Score
AG Barr PLC LSE:BAG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AG Barr Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AG Barr for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0138+0.528 * 0.9639+0.404 * 1.0146+0.892 * 1.0402+0.115 * 1.32
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9878+4.679 * -0.007585-0.327 * 1.3171
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan26) TTM:Last Year (Jan25) TTM:
Total Receivables was £77.3 Mil.
Revenue was £437.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was £177.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £196.3 Mil.
Total Assets was £514.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £154.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £11.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £115.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £117.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £6.2 Mil.
Net Income was £47.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £51.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was £73.3 Mil.
Revenue was £420.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was £164.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £173.9 Mil.
Total Assets was £432.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £123.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £12.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £112.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £76.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £2.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(77.3 / 437.3) / (73.3 / 420.4)
=0.176767 / 0.174358
=1.0138

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(164.3 / 420.4) / (177.3 / 437.3)
=0.390818 / 0.405442
=0.9639

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (196.3 + 154) / 514.2) / (1 - (173.9 + 123) / 432.9)
=0.318748 / 0.31416
=1.0146

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=437.3 / 420.4
=1.0402

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12.2 / (12.2 + 123)) / (11.3 / (11.3 + 154))
=0.090237 / 0.068361
=1.32

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(115.7 / 437.3) / (112.6 / 420.4)
=0.264578 / 0.26784
=0.9878

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6.2 + 117.7) / 514.2) / ((2.8 + 76.4) / 432.9)
=0.240957 / 0.182952
=1.3171

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(47.1 - 0 - 51) / 514.2
=-0.007585

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AG Barr has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 mean?
AG Barr (LSE:BAG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AG Barr and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AG Barr ranks #51 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 46.8%.
Is AG Barr's Beneish M-Score too high?
AG Barr's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. Based on the distribution chart, AG Barr ranks #51 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, AG Barr has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AG Barr's Beneish M-Score compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, AG Barr ranks #51 out of 109 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts AG Barr in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AG Barr and its competitors. AG Barr's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AG Barr stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AG Barr (LSE:BAG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £6.96, compared to a current price of £6.27 — trading 9.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. AG Barr's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AG Barr (LSE:BAG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AG Barr (LSE:BAG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AG Barr stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £6.27 is trading 9.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of £6.96. GuruFocus considers AG Barr to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:BAG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.54
  • GF Value™: £6.96 vs. price of £6.27 (9.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:BAG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AG Barr Business Description

Other Exchanges BAGFF:USABAGl:UK
Address 4 Mollins Road, Westfield House, Westfield, Cumbernauld, GBR, G68 9HD
AG Barr PLC manufactures, distributes, and sells a range of beverages in the United Kingdom. The company distributes its products to wholesalers and retailers. Its brands include Funkin, Barr Flavours, Moma, Rio, IRN-BRU, Simply Fruity, Sun Exotic, Rubicon, Boost Drinks, Snapple, and others. The company has three reportable segments, which include Soft drinks, Cocktail solutions, and others. The majority of its sales come from the Soft drinks segment. Geographically, it generates maximum revenue from the United Kingdom, followed by the Rest of the world.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:BAG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£6.27
Price
£6.96
GF Value