Vistry Group (LSE:VTY) Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LSE:VTY Vistry Group PLC LSE:VTY
66 GF Score
Price £2.74
GF Value £7.87
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vistry Group Beneish M-Score?

Vistry Group LSE:VTY +6.78% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:VTY with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of £7.87 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 89 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Vistry Group ranks better than 84.27% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:VTY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.09   Med: -2.07   Max: 0.14
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vistry Group was 0.14. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.07.


Vistry Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vistry Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Vistry Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -1.14 -2.17 -1.73 -2.67

Vistry Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 0.00 -1.73 0.00 -2.67

LSE:VTY vs DHI, PHM, LEN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vistry Group Beneish M-Score vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LSE:VTY
66GF Score
Vistry Group PLC LSE:VTY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vistry Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vistry Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0704+0.528 * 0.7159+0.404 * 0.9871+0.892 * 0.9562+0.115 * 1.049
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1399+4.679 * -0.007462-0.327 * 1.0326
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was £753 Mil.
Revenue was £3,614 Mil.
Gross Profit was £390 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £4,343 Mil.
Total Assets was £6,379 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £118 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £74 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £229 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £1,726 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £570 Mil.
Net Income was £138 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £186 Mil.
Total Receivables was £736 Mil.
Revenue was £3,779 Mil.
Gross Profit was £292 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £4,095 Mil.
Total Assets was £6,045 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £108 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £74 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £210 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £1,538 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £568 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(753.4 / 3613.7) / (736.1 / 3779.3)
=0.208484 / 0.194772
=1.0704

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(291.7 / 3779.3) / (389.6 / 3613.7)
=0.077184 / 0.107812
=0.7159

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4342.5 + 117.7) / 6379.1) / (1 - (4094.6 + 108) / 6044.7)
=0.30081 / 0.304746
=0.9871

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3613.7 / 3779.3
=0.9562

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(73.9 / (73.9 + 108)) / (74.4 / (74.4 + 117.7))
=0.406267 / 0.387298
=1.049

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(229.1 / 3613.7) / (210.2 / 3779.3)
=0.063398 / 0.055619
=1.1399

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((569.6 + 1725.7) / 6379.1) / ((568 + 1538.4) / 6044.7)
=0.359816 / 0.348471
=1.0326

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(138 - 0 - 185.6) / 6379.1
=-0.007462

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vistry Group has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 mean?
Vistry Group (LSE:VTY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vistry Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vistry Group ranks #14 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 15.7%.
Is Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Vistry Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Based on the distribution chart, Vistry Group ranks #14 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Vistry Group has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vistry Group's Beneish M-Score compare to DHI and PHM?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Vistry Group ranks #14 out of 89 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Vistry Group in the top 16% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Homebuilding & Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vistry Group and its competitors. Vistry Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vistry Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vistry Group (LSE:VTY) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £7.87, compared to a current price of £2.74 — trading 65.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Vistry Group's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vistry Group (LSE:VTY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vistry Group (LSE:VTY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vistry Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £2.74 is trading 65.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of £7.87. GuruFocus considers Vistry Group to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:VTY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.67
  • GF Value™: £7.87 vs. price of £2.74 (65.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:VTY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vistry Group Business Description

Address 11 Tower View, Kings Hill, West Malling, Kent, GBR, ME19 4UY
Vistry Group PLC is a construction company that focuses on residential construction. The company has properties at Warwick, Winnersh, Winchester, Rugby, Wokingham, Devon, Cambridge, Bursledon, among others.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:VTY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£2.74
Price
£7.87
GF Value