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Swedbank AB (LTS:0JZJ) Beneish M-Score : -2.18 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Swedbank AB Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.18 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Swedbank AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0JZJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.65
Current: -2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Swedbank AB was -1.65. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.49.


Swedbank AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Swedbank AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0093+0.892 * 1.2689+0.115 * 0.2384
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9498+4.679 * 0.028587-0.327 * 1.0019
=-2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 17958 + 18912 + 18204 + 17923 = kr72,997 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17958 + 18912 + 18204 + 17923 = kr72,997 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr346,835 Mil.
Total Assets was kr3,079,424 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr2,000 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr7,155 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr987,730 Mil.
Net Income was 8428 + 8321 + 9123 + 9122 = kr34,994 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 72168 + -29302 + -77092 + -18810 = kr-53,036 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 17217 + 15755 + 13460 + 11097 = kr57,529 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17217 + 15755 + 13460 + 11097 = kr57,529 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr361,343 Mil.
Total Assets was kr3,036,339 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr5,529 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,731 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr5,937 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr3,446 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr968,577 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 72997) / (0 / 57529)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(57529 / 57529) / (72997 / 72997)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (346835 + 0) / 3079424) / (1 - (361343 + 5529) / 3036339)
=0.88737 / 0.879173
=1.0093

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=72997 / 57529
=1.2689

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1731 / (1731 + 5529)) / (2000 / (2000 + 0))
=0.23843 / 1
=0.2384

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7155 / 72997) / (5937 / 57529)
=0.098018 / 0.1032
=0.9498

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((987730 + 0) / 3079424) / ((968577 + 3446) / 3036339)
=0.320752 / 0.32013
=1.0019

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(34994 - 0 - -53036) / 3079424
=0.028587

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Swedbank AB has a M-score of -2.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Swedbank AB Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Swedbank AB (LTS:0JZJ) Business Description

Address
Landsvagen 40, Sundbyberg, Stockholm, SWE, 172 63
Swedbank is one of the oldest banks in Sweden, where it derives the lion's share of its income. The bank is the result of merging savings and union banks in Sweden in the aftermath of the financial crisis in the early 1990s in Sweden. The remaining independent savings banks in Sweden remain in close collaboration with Swedbank, acting as an additional product distribution channel to Swedbank and sharing Swedbank's IT systems and part of its development costs. In addition, the bank operates in the three Baltic states: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Swedbank has a market-leading position in the Baltics, with share ranging from 20% to 55% in retail banking, where it generates 16% of revenue.