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A.O. Smith (LTS:0L7A) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is A.O. Smith Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0L7A' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.53   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of A.O. Smith was -2.12. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.53.


A.O. Smith Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

A.O. Smith Beneish M-Score Chart

A.O. Smith Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.78 -2.62 -2.12 -2.60

A.O. Smith Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.60 -2.57 -2.37 -2.53

Competitive Comparison of A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where A.O. Smith's Beneish M-Score falls into.



A.O. Smith Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of A.O. Smith for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9276+0.528 * 1.0078+0.404 * 1.0178+0.892 * 1.0245+0.115 * 1.0332
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0187+4.679 * -0.007197-0.327 * 0.9524
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $558 Mil.
Revenue was 902.6 + 1024.3 + 978.8 + 988.1 = $3,894 Mil.
Gross Profit was 337.3 + 396 + 384.7 + 369.8 = $1,488 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,413 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,154 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $657 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $80 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $742 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $844 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $133 Mil.
Net Income was 120.1 + 156.2 + 147.6 + 137.3 = $561 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2.6 + 0.9 + 1.2 + -6.8 = $-7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 195.9 + 57.4 + 106.6 + 231.3 = $591 Mil.
Total Receivables was $587 Mil.
Revenue was 937.5 + 960.8 + 966.4 + 936.1 = $3,801 Mil.
Gross Profit was 356.2 + 384.7 + 374.1 + 348.6 = $1,464 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,505 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,200 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $614 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $78 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $711 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $896 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $146 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(558.2 / 3893.8) / (587.4 / 3800.8)
=0.143356 / 0.154546
=0.9276

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1463.6 / 3800.8) / (1487.8 / 3893.8)
=0.385077 / 0.382095
=1.0078

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1412.5 + 657) / 3154.2) / (1 - (1504.5 + 614.4) / 3200.1)
=0.343891 / 0.337864
=1.0178

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3893.8 / 3800.8
=1.0245

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(77.9 / (77.9 + 614.4)) / (80.3 / (80.3 + 657))
=0.112523 / 0.108911
=1.0332

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(742.3 / 3893.8) / (711.3 / 3800.8)
=0.190636 / 0.187145
=1.0187

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((133.2 + 844.2) / 3154.2) / ((145.6 + 895.6) / 3200.1)
=0.309873 / 0.325365
=0.9524

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(561.2 - -7.3 - 591.2) / 3154.2
=-0.007197

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

A.O. Smith has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


A.O. Smith Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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A.O. Smith Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11270 West Park Place, P. O. Box 245008, Suite 170, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53224-9508
A.O. Smith Corporation manufactures a broad lineup of water heaters, boilers, and water treatment products. The company has two reporting segments, North America (75% of sales) and rest of world (25% of sales). A.O. Smith is the leading manufacturer of water heaters in North America for both residential and commercial markets, with approximately 37% and 54% market share, respectively. Residential water heaters account for Most of North American sales and are distributed equally through wholesale and retail channels. Most of A.O. Smith's international revenue is from China, a market the company entered during the mid-1990s.

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