Nutrien (LTS:0NHS) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


LTS:0NHS Nutrien Ltd LTS:0NHS
73 GF Score
Price $61.07
GF Value $54.22
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nutrien Beneish M-Score?

Nutrien LTS:0NHS +0.61% 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0NHS with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $54.22 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 246 Agriculture companies, Nutrien ranks better than 67.89% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nutrien's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0NHS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.61   Max: 3.62
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nutrien was 3.62. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.61.


Nutrien Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nutrien's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nutrien Beneish M-Score Chart

Nutrien Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -2.41 -2.66 -2.61 -2.64

Nutrien Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.69 -2.69 -2.64 -2.61

LTS:0NHS vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Nutrien's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nutrien Beneish M-Score vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Nutrien's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nutrien's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LTS:0NHS
73GF Score
Nutrien Ltd LTS:0NHS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nutrien Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nutrien for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0333+0.528 * 0.9137+0.404 * 0.9564+0.892 * 1.0836+0.115 * 0.9845
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9377+4.679 * -0.030395-0.327 * 0.9684
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $6,284 Mil.
Revenue was 6046 + 5340 + 6007 + 10438 = $27,831 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1646 + 1888 + 1964 + 3175 = $8,673 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $16,475 Mil.
Total Assets was $53,923 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $22,659 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,228 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,301 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,782 Mil.
Net Income was 131 + 571 + 464 + 1221 = $2,387 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -147 + 150 + -70 + -145 = $-212 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -851 + 2977 + -426 + 2538 = $4,238 Mil.
Total Receivables was $5,612 Mil.
Revenue was 5100 + 5079 + 5348 + 10156 = $25,683 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1320 + 1581 + 1500 + 2912 = $7,313 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,362 Mil.
Total Assets was $53,069 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $22,488 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,345 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,161 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,591 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,868 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6284 / 27831) / (5612 / 25683)
=0.225791 / 0.21851
=1.0333

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7313 / 25683) / (8673 / 27831)
=0.284741 / 0.311631
=0.9137

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16475 + 22659) / 53923) / (1 - (15362 + 22488) / 53069)
=0.274261 / 0.286778
=0.9564

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27831 / 25683
=1.0836

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2345 / (2345 + 22488)) / (2404 / (2404 + 22659))
=0.094431 / 0.095918
=0.9845

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4228 / 27831) / (4161 / 25683)
=0.151917 / 0.162014
=0.9377

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9782 + 13301) / 53923) / ((10868 + 12591) / 53069)
=0.428073 / 0.442047
=0.9684

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2387 - -212 - 4238) / 53923
=-0.030395

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nutrien has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Nutrien (LTS:0NHS) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nutrien and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nutrien ranks #79 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 32.1%.
Is Nutrien's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nutrien's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Nutrien ranks #79 out of 246 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nutrien has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nutrien's Beneish M-Score compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Nutrien ranks #79 out of 246 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Nutrien in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Agriculture company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nutrien and its competitors. Nutrien's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nutrien stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nutrien (LTS:0NHS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $54.22, compared to a current price of $61.07 — trading 12.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Nutrien's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nutrien (LTS:0NHS), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nutrien (LTS:0NHS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nutrien stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $61.07 is trading 12.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $54.22. GuruFocus considers Nutrien to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0NHS:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: $54.22 vs. price of $61.07 (12.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0NHS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nutrien Business Description

Address 211 19th Street East, Suite 1700, Saskatoon, SK, CAN, S7K 5R6
Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients—nitrogen, potash, and phosphate—although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in North America and Australia, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0NHS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$61.07
Price
$54.22
GF Value