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Talgo (LTS:0R99) Beneish M-Score : -2.14 (As of Apr. 04, 2025)


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What is Talgo Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.14 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Talgo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0R99' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.79   Med: -2.19   Max: -0.87
Current: -2.14

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Talgo was -0.87. The lowest was -3.79. And the median was -2.19.


Talgo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Talgo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Talgo Beneish M-Score Chart

Talgo Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.87 -2.33 -2.24 -1.84 -2.14

Talgo Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.24 - -1.84 - -2.14

Competitive Comparison of Talgo's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Talgo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Talgo's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Talgo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Talgo's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Talgo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Talgo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2918+0.528 * 1.156+0.404 * 0.9842+0.892 * 1.0264+0.115 * 0.8031
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0766+4.679 * 0.00372-0.327 * 1.0433
=-2.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €652.2 Mil.
Revenue was €669.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was €175.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €965.5 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,271.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €56.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €24.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €22.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €513.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €381.6 Mil.
Net Income was €-106.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €-110.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was €491.9 Mil.
Revenue was €652.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was €197.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €839.7 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,115.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €53.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €17.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €20.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €415.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €337.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(652.16 / 669.216) / (491.862 / 651.996)
=0.974513 / 0.754394
=1.2918

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(197.626 / 651.996) / (175.475 / 669.216)
=0.303109 / 0.26221
=1.156

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (965.546 + 56.393) / 1271.095) / (1 - (839.656 + 53.895) / 1115.765)
=0.196017 / 0.199158
=0.9842

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=669.216 / 651.996
=1.0264

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17.24 / (17.24 + 53.895)) / (24.375 / (24.375 + 56.393))
=0.242356 / 0.30179
=0.8031

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22.113 / 669.216) / (20.012 / 651.996)
=0.033043 / 0.030693
=1.0766

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((381.621 + 513.335) / 1271.095) / ((337.776 + 415.228) / 1115.765)
=0.704083 / 0.674877
=1.0433

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-106.07 - 0 - -110.799) / 1271.095
=0.00372

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Talgo has a M-score of -2.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Talgo Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Paseo del tren Talgo, 2, Las Matas, Madrid, ESP, 28290
Talgo SA is a Spain-based company engaged in the design and manufacture of rolling stock. It operates in three business segments: Rolling stock, which accounts for the majority of revenue; Auxiliary machines & Others; and General. The Rolling stock segment is responsible for train production, as well as for the maintenance of trains that use the company's technology. The Auxiliary Machines & Others segment provides the manufacture and technical service of lathes, as well as the sale of related spare parts. The company's product range comprises high-speed rolling stock, intercity trains, and locomotives, among others. Talgo's geographical segments are Spain, the Rest of Europe, America, the Middle East & North Africa, the Commonwealth of Independent States, and APAC.

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