MATH (Metalpha Technology Holding) Beneish M-Score: 25.24 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — 1250% Above Median


MATH Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd MATH
42 GF Score
Price $0.99
GF Value $2.30
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Metalpha Technology Holding Beneish M-Score?

Metalpha Technology Holding MATH +0.71% 42 Beneish M-Score is 25.24 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 1250% above its 10-year median of 1.87. GuruFocus rates MATH with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.30 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 704 Capital Markets companies, Metalpha Technology Holding ranks worse than 95.88% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 25.24 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MATH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.81   Med: 1.87   Max: 1032.31
Current: 25.24

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metalpha Technology Holding was 1032.31. The lowest was -3.81. And the median was 1.87.


Metalpha Technology Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metalpha Technology Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Metalpha Technology Holding Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 26.17 -1.44 25.24

Metalpha Technology Holding Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.44 0.00 25.24 0.00

MATH vs HGBL, GSIW, PLUT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metalpha Technology Holding Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MATH
42GF Score
Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd MATH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Metalpha Technology Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metalpha Technology Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 29.1874+0.528 * 0.6145+0.404 * 0.8545+0.892 * 2.6585+0.115 * 1.6775
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.2269+4.679 * 0.072249-0.327 * 0.9428
=25.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3.96 Mil.
Revenue was $44.57 Mil.
Gross Profit was $19.46 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $246.48 Mil.
Total Assets was $246.77 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.24 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.16 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1.86 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $210.19 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.02 Mil.
Net Income was $15.90 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-2.01 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $0.07 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.05 Mil.
Revenue was $16.76 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4.50 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $174.63 Mil.
Total Assets was $174.72 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.04 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.09 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3.08 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $157.87 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3.957 / 44.567) / (0.051 / 16.764)
=0.088788 / 0.003042
=29.1874

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4.498 / 16.764) / (19.458 / 44.567)
=0.268313 / 0.436601
=0.6145

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (246.476 + 0.238) / 246.772) / (1 - (174.629 + 0.042) / 174.719)
=0.000235 / 0.000275
=0.8545

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=44.567 / 16.764
=2.6585

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.089 / (0.089 + 0.042)) / (0.162 / (0.162 + 0.238))
=0.679389 / 0.405
=1.6775

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1.857 / 44.567) / (3.078 / 16.764)
=0.041668 / 0.183608
=0.2269

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.023 + 210.19) / 246.772) / ((0 + 157.867) / 174.719)
=0.851851 / 0.903548
=0.9428

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(15.895 - -2.006 - 0.072) / 246.772
=0.072249

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metalpha Technology Holding has a M-score of 25.24 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 25.24 mean?
Metalpha Technology Holding (MATH) has a Beneish M-Score of 25.24 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metalpha Technology Holding and its competitors. This is 1250% above median its historical median of 1.87. According to the industry distribution chart, Metalpha Technology Holding ranks #675 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 95.9%.
Is Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score too high?
Metalpha Technology Holding's current Beneish M-Score of 25.24 is 1250% above median its 10-year median of 1.87. Based on the distribution chart, Metalpha Technology Holding ranks #675 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Metalpha Technology Holding has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metalpha Technology Holding's Beneish M-Score compare to HGBL and GSIW?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Metalpha Technology Holding ranks #675 out of 704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Metalpha Technology Holding in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metalpha Technology Holding and its competitors. Metalpha Technology Holding's current Beneish M-Score is 25.24, which is 1250% above median its own 10-year median of 1.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metalpha Technology Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metalpha Technology Holding (MATH) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.30, compared to a current price of $0.99 — trading 56.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 25.24, which is 1250% above median its 10-year median of 1.87. Metalpha Technology Holding's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metalpha Technology Holding (MATH), the current Beneish M-Score is 25.24 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metalpha Technology Holding (MATH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metalpha Technology Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.99 is trading 56.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.30. GuruFocus considers Metalpha Technology Holding to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MATH:

  • Beneish M-Score: 25.24 (1250% above median its 10-year median of 1.87)
  • GF Value™: $2.30 vs. price of $0.99 (56.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MATH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metalpha Technology Holding Business Description

Address 18 Harbour Road, Suite 6703-04, Central Plaza, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd is a digital asset focused wealth management company. The company predominantly generates revenue from the execution of cryptocurrency-related transactions, which includes the issuance of derivative products to over-the-counter (OTC) clients and its proprietary trading activities. It has partnered with a crypto exchange to provide crypto derivative market-making services for its clients, facilitating the trading of crypto derivative products. In addition, the company also engages in providing traditional financial derivative products, and asset management services. It operates in a single segment which is the trading of proprietary digital assets and derivative contracts, and generates majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MATH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.99
Price
$2.30
GF Value