Conagra Brands (MEX:CAG) Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:CAG Conagra Brands Inc MEX:CAG
37 GF Score
Price MXN236.22
GF Value MXN437.61
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Conagra Brands Beneish M-Score?

Conagra Brands MEX:CAG 37 Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CAG with a GF Score™ of 37/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN437.61 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Conagra Brands ranks better than 52.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Conagra Brands's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CAG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.1
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Conagra Brands was -2.10. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.62.


Conagra Brands Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Conagra Brands's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Conagra Brands Beneish M-Score Chart

Conagra Brands Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.42 -2.38 -2.79 -2.69

Conagra Brands Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -2.69 -2.82 -2.58 -2.55

MEX:CAG vs INGR, CPB, PPC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Conagra Brands's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Conagra Brands Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Conagra Brands's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conagra Brands's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:CAG
37GF Score
Conagra Brands Inc MEX:CAG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Conagra Brands Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Conagra Brands for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9115+0.528 * 1.0899+0.404 * 0.9707+0.892 * 0.905+0.115 * 0.9427
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8939+4.679 * -0.026521-0.327 * 0.9901
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN13,036 Mil.
Revenue was 48007.867 + 54577.764 + 49652.129 + 54050.674 = MXN206,288 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11326.054 + 12750.872 + 12082.031 + 13740.972 = MXN49,900 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN49,782 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN330,849 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN48,228 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN7,172 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN25,258 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN55,246 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN111,196 Mil.
Net Income was 3440.696 + -12157.297 + 3102.551 + 4974.108 = MXN-640 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 733.602 + -17041.468 + 1469.232 + 404.146 = MXN-14,434 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 9719.363 + 3858.238 + 2274.575 + 6716.988 = MXN22,569 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN15,803 Mil.
Revenue was 58312.661 + 65118.518 + 55130.825 + 49382.865 = MXN227,945 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14579.192 + 17256.377 + 14583.069 + 13678.471 = MXN60,097 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN60,870 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN425,789 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN56,219 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN7,815 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN31,222 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN88,335 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN128,013 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13036.07 / 206288.434) / (15802.505 / 227944.869)
=0.063193 / 0.069326
=0.9115

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(60097.109 / 227944.869) / (49899.929 / 206288.434)
=0.263648 / 0.241894
=1.0899

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (49781.6 + 48228.292) / 330849.255) / (1 - (60870.126 + 56219.071) / 425789.16)
=0.703763 / 0.725007
=0.9707

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=206288.434 / 227944.869
=0.905

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7815.313 / (7815.313 + 56219.071)) / (7172.334 / (7172.334 + 48228.292))
=0.122049 / 0.129463
=0.9427

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(25258.246 / 206288.434) / (31222.236 / 227944.869)
=0.122441 / 0.136973
=0.8939

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((111195.782 + 55245.728) / 330849.255) / ((128012.815 + 88335.164) / 425789.16)
=0.503074 / 0.508111
=0.9901

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-639.942 - -14434.488 - 22569.164) / 330849.255
=-0.026521

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Conagra Brands has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 mean?
Conagra Brands (MEX:CAG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Conagra Brands and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Conagra Brands ranks #879 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 47.5%.
Is Conagra Brands' Beneish M-Score too high?
Conagra Brands' current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Based on the distribution chart, Conagra Brands ranks #879 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Conagra Brands has a GF Score™ of 37/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Conagra Brands' Beneish M-Score compare to INGR and CPB?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Conagra Brands ranks #879 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Conagra Brands in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Conagra Brands and its competitors. Conagra Brands's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Conagra Brands stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Conagra Brands (MEX:CAG) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN437.61, compared to a current price of MXN236.22 — trading 46% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Conagra Brands' overall GF Score™ is 37/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Conagra Brands (MEX:CAG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Conagra Brands (MEX:CAG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Conagra Brands stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN236.22 is trading 46% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN437.61. GuruFocus considers Conagra Brands to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CAG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.55
  • GF Value™: MXN437.61 vs. price of MXN236.22 (46% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 37/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CAG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Conagra Brands Business Description

Address 222 W. Merchandise Mart Plaza, Suite 1300, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Conagra Brands is a packaged food company that operates predominantly in the United States (91% of fiscal 2025 revenue). Most of its revenue comes from frozen food, including brands like Marie Callender's, Healthy Choice, Banquet, and Birds Eye. Conagra also sells snacks, shelf-stable staples, and refrigerated food through brands like Duncan Hines, Hunt's, Slim Jim, Vlasic, Orville Redenbacher's, Reddi-wip, and Wish-Bone. The company primarily sells through the US retail channel, with just 9% of fiscal 2025 revenue coming from international markets and 9% from foodservice.
37GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CAG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN236.22
Price
MXN437.61
GF Value