Celanese (MEX:CE) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jul. 31, 2026)

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MEX:CE Celanese Corp MEX:CE
43 GF Score
Price MXN847.00
GF Value MXN1,212.33
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Celanese Beneish M-Score?

Celanese MEX:CE 43 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 31, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CE with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,212.33 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,525 Chemicals companies, Celanese ranks better than 76.52% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celanese's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.65   Max: -1.46
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Celanese was -1.46. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.65.


Celanese Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Celanese's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Celanese Beneish M-Score Chart

Celanese Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 -2.06 -2.69 -2.83 -2.77

Celanese Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.72 -3.04 -2.77 -2.82

MEX:CE vs OLN, HUN, REX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Celanese's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celanese Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Celanese's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celanese's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:CE
43GF Score
Celanese Corp MEX:CE
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Celanese Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Celanese for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9004+0.528 * 1.0933+0.404 * 0.9188+0.892 * 0.8748+0.115 * 0.8958
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9449+4.679 * -0.051583-0.327 * 1.0635
=-2.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN30,295 Mil.
Revenue was 42142.42 + 39684.563 + 44374.62 + 47675.534 = MXN173,877 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8439.304 + 7616.411 + 9557.328 + 10073.622 = MXN35,687 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN107,637 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN391,941 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN95,826 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN14,691 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN16,339 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN77,829 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN199,947 Mil.
Net Income was 793.439 + 342.108 + -24893.079 + 3747.011 = MXN-20,011 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1478.681 + 1656.524 + -25810.289 + 1054.435 = MXN-21,621 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1370.485 + 4537.436 + 8199.857 + 7719.972 = MXN21,828 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN38,461 Mil.
Revenue was 48874.64 + 49177.741 + 52139.914 + 48566.593 = MXN198,759 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9697.187 + 10970.098 + 12188.296 + 11743.186 = MXN44,599 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN110,843 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN474,569 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN115,343 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN15,592 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN19,766 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN57,222 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN259,042 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(30294.936 / 173877.137) / (38461.416 / 198758.888)
=0.174232 / 0.193508
=0.9004

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(44598.767 / 198758.888) / (35686.665 / 173877.137)
=0.224386 / 0.205241
=1.0933

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (107637.186 + 95825.768) / 391940.735) / (1 - (110842.528 + 115343.332) / 474568.866)
=0.480883 / 0.523387
=0.9188

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=173877.137 / 198758.888
=0.8748

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(15591.896 / (15591.896 + 115343.332)) / (14691.168 / (14691.168 + 95825.768))
=0.119081 / 0.132931
=0.8958

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16338.791 / 173877.137) / (19765.713 / 198758.888)
=0.093967 / 0.099446
=0.9449

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((199946.578 + 77829.133) / 391940.735) / ((259041.729 + 57221.585) / 474568.866)
=0.708719 / 0.666422
=1.0635

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-20010.521 - -21620.649 - 21827.75) / 391940.735
=-0.051583

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Celanese has a M-score of -2.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Celanese (MEX:CE) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jul. 31, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celanese and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Celanese ranks #358 out of 1525 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 23.5%.
Is Celanese's Beneish M-Score too high?
Celanese's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Celanese ranks #358 out of 1525 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Celanese has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Celanese's Beneish M-Score compare to OLN and HUN?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Celanese ranks #358 out of 1525 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Celanese in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celanese and its competitors. Celanese's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Celanese stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celanese (MEX:CE) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,212.33, compared to a current price of MXN847.00 — trading 30.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Celanese's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Celanese (MEX:CE), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jul. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Celanese (MEX:CE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celanese stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN847.00 is trading 30.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,212.33. GuruFocus considers Celanese to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CE:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: MXN1,212.33 vs. price of MXN847.00 (30.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Celanese Business Description

Address 222 West Las Colinas Boulevard, Suite 900N, Irving, TX, USA, 75039-5421
Celanese is one of the world's largest producers of acetic acid and its downstream derivative chemicals, which are used in various end markets, including coatings and adhesives. The company is also one of the largest producers of specialty polymers, which are used in the automotive, electronics, medical, building, and consumer end markets. The company also makes cellulose derivatives used in cigarette filters.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CE

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN847.00
Price
MXN1,212.33
GF Value