Certara (MEX:CERT) Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


MEX:CERT Certara Inc MEX:CERT
59 GF Score
Price MXN254.00
GF Value MXN587.33
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Certara Beneish M-Score?

Certara MEX:CERT 59 Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CERT with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN587.33. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 633 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Certara ranks better than 72.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Certara's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CERT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.2
Current: -2.86

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Certara was -2.20. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.64.


Certara Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Certara's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Certara Beneish M-Score Chart

Certara Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.40 -2.59 -2.80 -2.54 -2.82

Certara Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.67 -2.85 -2.82 -2.86

MEX:CERT vs TALK, GDRX, OMDA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Certara's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Certara Beneish M-Score vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Certara's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Certara's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:CERT
59GF Score
Certara Inc MEX:CERT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Certara Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Certara for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9199+0.528 * 0.9797+0.404 * 1.0162+0.892 * 0.9801+0.115 * 0.958
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0045+4.679 * -0.075402-0.327 * 1.1209
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN1,940 Mil.
Revenue was 1927.966 + 1866.255 + 1919.097 + 1968.969 = MXN7,682 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1177.481 + 1160.954 + 1190.502 + 1202.32 = MXN4,731 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN4,879 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN27,056 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN236 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,384 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,731 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN2,599 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN5,361 Mil.
Net Income was -158.021 + -106.144 + 27.975 + -37.056 = MXN-273 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 23.461 + 24.722 + 31.901 + 28.263 = MXN108 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 210.874 + 518.87 + 592.774 + 335.951 = MXN1,658 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN2,152 Mil.
Revenue was 2168.651 + 2093.099 + 1867.034 + 1709.504 = MXN7,838 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1319.206 + 1295.097 + 1134.772 + 980.199 = MXN4,729 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN6,141 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN31,935 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN309 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,395 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,774 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN2,211 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN6,171 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1940.427 / 7682.287) / (2152.244 / 7838.288)
=0.252585 / 0.274581
=0.9199

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4729.274 / 7838.288) / (4731.257 / 7682.287)
=0.603355 / 0.615866
=0.9797

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4878.927 + 235.741) / 27055.686) / (1 - (6141.04 + 309.308) / 31935.475)
=0.810958 / 0.798019
=1.0162

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7682.287 / 7838.288
=0.9801

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1395.415 / (1395.415 + 309.308)) / (1384.214 / (1384.214 + 235.741))
=0.818558 / 0.854477
=0.958

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2730.718 / 7682.287) / (2773.605 / 7838.288)
=0.355456 / 0.353853
=1.0045

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5360.995 + 2598.927) / 27055.686) / ((6170.848 + 2211.102) / 31935.475)
=0.294205 / 0.262465
=1.1209

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-273.246 - 108.347 - 1658.469) / 27055.686
=-0.075402

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Certara has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 mean?
Certara (MEX:CERT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Certara and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Certara ranks #175 out of 633 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 27.6%.
Is Certara's Beneish M-Score too high?
Certara's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Based on the distribution chart, Certara ranks #175 out of 633 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Certara has a GF Score™ of 59/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Certara's Beneish M-Score compare to TALK and GDRX?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Certara ranks #175 out of 633 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Certara in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Healthcare Providers & Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Certara and its competitors. Certara's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Certara stock overvalued right now?
Certara (MEX:CERT) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.86. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN587.33, compared to a current price of MXN254.00 — trading 56.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Certara's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Certara (MEX:CERT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Certara (MEX:CERT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Certara stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN254.00 is trading 56.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN587.33.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CERT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.86
  • GF Value™: MXN587.33 vs. price of MXN254.00 (56.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CERT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Certara Business Description

Other Exchanges CERT:USA
Address 4 Radnor Corporate Center, Suite 350, Radnor, PA, USA, 19087
Certara Inc accelerates medicines to patients using biosimulation software and technology to transform traditional drug discovery and development. It provides modeling and simulation, regulatory science, and assessment software and services to help clients reduce clinical trials, accelerate regulatory approval, and increase patient access to medicines. The company has its business presence in the Americas, which is also its key revenue-generating market, EMEA, and the Asia Pacific region.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CERT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN254.00
Price
MXN587.33
GF Value