Greenbrier (MEX:GBX) Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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MEX:GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc MEX:GBX
68 GF Score
Price MXN842.00
GF Value MXN580.13
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Greenbrier Beneish M-Score?

Greenbrier MEX:GBX 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GBX with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN580.13. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 965 Transportation companies, Greenbrier ranks worse than 59.69% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:GBX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.48   Max: -0.84
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greenbrier was -0.84. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.48.


Greenbrier Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Greenbrier Beneish M-Score Chart

Greenbrier Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.15 -1.75 -2.29 -2.87 -2.64

Greenbrier Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.64 -2.91 -3.00 -2.48

MEX:GBX vs FSTR, TRN, RAIL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greenbrier Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:GBX
68GF Score
Greenbrier Companies Inc MEX:GBX
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Greenbrier Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greenbrier for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1837+0.528 * 1.2187+0.404 * 1.0128+0.892 * 0.6707+0.115 * 1.0146
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2532+4.679 * -0.011492-0.327 * 0.9689
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May26) TTM:Last Year (May25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN8,352 Mil.
Revenue was 10002.16 + 10117.161 + 12935.907 + 14324.543 = MXN47,380 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1407.069 + 1196.839 + 1892.479 + 2712.139 = MXN7,209 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN24,697 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN75,440 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN43,499 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,302 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN4,379 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN10,788 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN30,501 Mil.
Net Income was 327.911 + 258.311 + 666.856 + 694.066 = MXN1,947 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 131.858 + 265.199 + 340.756 + 33.949 = MXN772 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -3934.935 + 2732.925 + 1396.001 + 1848.328 = MXN2,042 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN10,519 Mil.
Revenue was 16373.752 + 15642.407 + 17851.495 + 20770.961 = MXN70,639 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2943.661 + 2844.82 + 3538.097 + 3771.517 = MXN13,098 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN30,913 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN84,583 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN45,651 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,453 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN5,209 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN19,162 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN28,615 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8352.194 / 47379.771) / (10519.46 / 70638.615)
=0.176282 / 0.148919
=1.1837

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13098.095 / 70638.615) / (7208.526 / 47379.771)
=0.185424 / 0.152144
=1.2187

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (24697.44 + 43499.419) / 75440.4) / (1 - (30913.302 + 45651.039) / 84583.146)
=0.096017 / 0.094804
=1.0128

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=47379.771 / 70638.615
=0.6707

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2453.023 / (2453.023 + 45651.039)) / (2302.096 / (2302.096 + 43499.419))
=0.050994 / 0.050262
=1.0146

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4378.881 / 47379.771) / (5209.353 / 70638.615)
=0.092421 / 0.073747
=1.2532

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((30500.948 + 10788.106) / 75440.4) / ((28614.72 + 19161.973) / 84583.146)
=0.547307 / 0.564849
=0.9689

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1947.144 - 771.762 - 2042.319) / 75440.4
=-0.011492

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greenbrier has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 mean?
Greenbrier (MEX:GBX) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Greenbrier and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Greenbrier ranks #576 out of 965 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 59.7%.
Is Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score too high?
Greenbrier's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Based on the distribution chart, Greenbrier ranks #576 out of 965 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Greenbrier has a GF Score™ of 68/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Greenbrier's Beneish M-Score compare to FSTR and TRN?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Greenbrier ranks #576 out of 965 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Greenbrier in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Greenbrier and its competitors. Greenbrier's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Greenbrier stock overvalued right now?
Greenbrier (MEX:GBX) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.48. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN580.13, compared to a current price of MXN842.00 — trading 45.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Greenbrier's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Greenbrier (MEX:GBX), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Greenbrier (MEX:GBX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Greenbrier stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN842.00 is trading 45.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN580.13.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GBX:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.48
  • GF Value™: MXN580.13 vs. price of MXN842.00 (45.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GBX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Greenbrier Business Description

Other Exchanges GBX:USAG90:Germany
Address One Centerpoint Drive, Suite 200, Lake Oswego, OR, USA, 97035
Greenbrier Companies Inc supplies equipment and services to international freight transportation markets, designing and marketing freight railcars in North America, Europe, and Brazil through subsidiaries and joint ventures. It provides railcar wheel services, parts, maintenance, and conversion services in North America. The company owns a lease fleet sourced mainly from its manufacturing operations and offers railcar management, regulatory compliance, and leasing services to railroads and owners. It operates two segments: Manufacturing and Leasing & Fleet Management, with the majority of revenue from Manufacturing. The company operates in the U.S. and internationally, with the majority of revenue from the U.S. market.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GBX

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN842.00
Price
MXN580.13
GF Value