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HCA Healthcare (MEX:HCA) Beneish M-Score : -2.81 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is HCA Healthcare Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HCA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.67   Med: -2.8   Max: -1.91
Current: -2.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of HCA Healthcare was -1.91. The lowest was -3.67. And the median was -2.80.


HCA Healthcare Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HCA Healthcare Beneish M-Score Chart

HCA Healthcare Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -3.01 -2.69 -2.79 -2.73

HCA Healthcare Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.73 -2.75 -2.67 -2.81

Competitive Comparison of HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HCA Healthcare's Beneish M-Score falls into.



HCA Healthcare Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of HCA Healthcare for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1141+0.528 * 0.9966+0.404 * 0.9553+0.892 * 1.0956+0.115 * 1.1248
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9659+4.679 * -0.077355-0.327 * 0.9925
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN195,229 Mil.
Revenue was 344324.276 + 320455.242 + 287762.466 + 293705.413 = MXN1,246,247 Mil.
Gross Profit was 292007.149 + 272200.091 + 243433.868 + 249843.956 = MXN1,057,485 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN328,080 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,170,766 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN615,282 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN58,170 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN551,978 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN293,385 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN791,688 Mil.
Net Income was 25006.681 + 26765.671 + 26404.642 + 27277.617 = MXN105,455 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 216.593 + 219.841 + 3302.655 + 594.099 = MXN4,333 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 69211.405 + 36108.923 + 40976.154 + 45389.139 = MXN191,686 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN159,940 Mil.
Revenue was 282412.577 + 271919.398 + 281027.775 + 302129.512 = MXN1,137,489 Mil.
Gross Profit was 240311.103 + 229436.814 + 237353.2 + 254773.728 = MXN961,875 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN248,986 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN950,880 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN508,562 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN54,725 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN521,607 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN216,116 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN671,829 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(195229.325 / 1246247.397) / (159940.312 / 1137489.262)
=0.156654 / 0.140608
=1.1141

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(961874.845 / 1137489.262) / (1057485.064 / 1246247.397)
=0.845612 / 0.848535
=0.9966

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (328079.779 + 615282.495) / 1170765.549) / (1 - (248985.714 + 508562.117) / 950880.168)
=0.194235 / 0.203319
=0.9553

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1246247.397 / 1137489.262
=1.0956

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(54724.828 / (54724.828 + 508562.117)) / (58170.102 / (58170.102 + 615282.495))
=0.097153 / 0.086376
=1.1248

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(551977.834 / 1246247.397) / (521606.726 / 1137489.262)
=0.442912 / 0.45856
=0.9659

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((791687.893 + 293385.47) / 1170765.549) / ((671829.438 + 216116.255) / 950880.168)
=0.926807 / 0.933815
=0.9925

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(105454.611 - 4333.188 - 191685.621) / 1170765.549
=-0.077355

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

HCA Healthcare has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


HCA Healthcare Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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HCA Healthcare Business Description

Address
One Park Plaza, Nashville, TN, USA, 37203
HCA Healthcare is a Nashville-based healthcare provider organization operating the largest collection of acute-care hospitals in the United States. As of June 2024, the firm owned and operated 188 hospitals, 123 freestanding outpatient surgery centers, and a broad network of physician offices, urgent-care clinics, and freestanding emergency rooms across 20 states and a small foothold in England.