Hera SpA (MEX:HERN) Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MEX:HERN Hera SpA MEX:HERN
56 GF Score
Price MXN81.23
GF Value MXN70.12
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hera SpA Beneish M-Score?

Hera SpA MEX:HERN 56 Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:HERN with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN70.12 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 485 Utilities - Regulated companies, Hera SpA ranks better than 76.29% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HERN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.22
Current: -2.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hera SpA was -1.22. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.61.


Hera SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hera SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

Hera SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -1.22 -3.06 -2.87 -2.81

Hera SpA Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.81 0.00

MEX:HERN vs SRE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hera SpA Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:HERN
56GF Score
Hera SpA MEX:HERN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hera SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hera SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8112+0.528 * 1.0156+0.404 * 1.1178+0.892 * 0.9585+0.115 * 1.0197
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.898+4.679 * -0.053821-0.327 * 0.9234
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN59,786 Mil.
Revenue was MXN273,326 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN122,059 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN102,093 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN297,918 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN50,867 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN12,446 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,212 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN93,073 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN91,688 Mil.
Net Income was MXN9,789 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was MXN25,824 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN76,897 Mil.
Revenue was MXN285,175 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN129,340 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN136,739 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN328,900 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN48,988 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN12,282 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,409 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN129,864 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN91,023 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(59785.671 / 273326.104) / (76897.477 / 285174.945)
=0.218734 / 0.26965
=0.8112

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(129340.281 / 285174.945) / (122059.249 / 273326.104)
=0.453547 / 0.44657
=1.0156

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (102092.741 + 50867.157) / 297918.433) / (1 - (136739.141 + 48987.965) / 328899.849)
=0.486571 / 0.435308
=1.1178

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=273326.104 / 285174.945
=0.9585

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12281.933 / (12281.933 + 48987.965)) / (12445.86 / (12445.86 + 50867.157))
=0.200456 / 0.196577
=1.0197

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1212.328 / 273326.104) / (1408.579 / 285174.945)
=0.004435 / 0.004939
=0.898

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((91687.807 + 93073.024) / 297918.433) / ((91022.573 + 129864.404) / 328899.849)
=0.620173 / 0.671593
=0.9234

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9789.282 - 0 - 25823.632) / 297918.433
=-0.053821

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hera SpA has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 mean?
Hera SpA (MEX:HERN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hera SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hera SpA ranks #115 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 23.7%.
Is Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score too high?
Hera SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Based on the distribution chart, Hera SpA ranks #115 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Hera SpA has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hera SpA's Beneish M-Score compare to SRE?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Hera SpA ranks #115 out of 485 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Hera SpA in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hera SpA and its competitors. Hera SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hera SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hera SpA (MEX:HERN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN70.12, compared to a current price of MXN81.23 — trading 15.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Hera SpA's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hera SpA (MEX:HERN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hera SpA (MEX:HERN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hera SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN81.23 is trading 15.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN70.12. GuruFocus considers Hera SpA to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HERN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.81
  • GF Value™: MXN70.12 vs. price of MXN81.23 (15.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HERN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hera SpA Business Description

Address Viale C. Berti Pichat 2/4, Bologna, ITA, 40127
Hera SpA is an Italian coalescence of municipally owned companies that manages the supply of energy, water and environmental services, as well as public lighting and telecommunications to citizens and businesses. The company operates mainly in Italy in the waste management (waste management and treatment), water (aqueduct, sewerage and purification) and energy (distribution and sale of electricity, gas and energy services) sectors; it also offers services for public lighting and telecommunications.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HERN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN81.23
Price
MXN70.12
GF Value