The Hershey Co (MEX:HSY) Beneish M-Score: -2.59 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:HSY The Hershey Co MEX:HSY
74 GF Score
Price MXN3,090.00
GF Value MXN3,699.50
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score?

The Hershey Co MEX:HSY 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.59 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:HSY with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN3,699.50 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, The Hershey Co ranks better than 56.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HSY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.56   Max: -2.11
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Hershey Co was -2.11. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.56.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The Hershey Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.61 -2.45 -2.56 -2.77

The Hershey Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.59 -2.79 -2.77 -2.59

MEX:HSY vs TR, MDLZ, SOWG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:HSY
74GF Score
The Hershey Co MEX:HSY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Hershey Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9553+0.528 * 1.218+0.404 * 1.1786+0.892 * 1.0223+0.115 * 0.8808
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9644+4.679 * -0.088266-0.327 * 0.9481
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN17,574 Mil.
Revenue was 55976.512 + 55655.997 + 58360.568 + 49233.048 = MXN219,226 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22049.141 + 20613.231 + 19029.062 + 14993.184 = MXN76,685 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN67,956 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN249,596 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN68,556 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN9,460 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN45,333 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN54,815 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN89,405 Mil.
Net Income was 7846.118 + 5762.13 + 5068.869 + 1180.949 = MXN19,858 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -75.341 + -523.246 + -245.996 + 39.184 = MXN-805 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 8453.838 + 16683.235 + 15444.275 + 2112.938 = MXN42,694 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN17,996 Mil.
Revenue was 57393.823 + 60221.668 + 58824.653 + 38004.687 = MXN214,445 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19318.003 + 32500.334 + 24272.607 + 15274.294 = MXN91,365 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN98,284 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN285,755 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN77,619 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN9,281 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN45,983 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN61,705 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN112,456 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(17573.858 / 219226.125) / (17995.708 / 214444.831)
=0.080163 / 0.083918
=0.9553

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(91365.238 / 214444.831) / (76684.618 / 219226.125)
=0.426055 / 0.349797
=1.218

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (67956.428 + 68556.016) / 249595.884) / (1 - (98283.975 + 77619.454) / 285755.31)
=0.453066 / 0.384426
=1.1786

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=219226.125 / 214444.831
=1.0223

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9281.261 / (9281.261 + 77619.454)) / (9460.271 / (9460.271 + 68556.016))
=0.106803 / 0.12126
=0.8808

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(45332.567 / 219226.125) / (45982.977 / 214444.831)
=0.206785 / 0.214428
=0.9644

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((89404.973 + 54815.279) / 249595.884) / ((112456.496 + 61704.898) / 285755.31)
=0.577815 / 0.609477
=0.9481

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(19858.066 - -805.399 - 42694.286) / 249595.884
=-0.088266

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Hershey Co has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.59 mean?
The Hershey Co (MEX:HSY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.59 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Hershey Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #811 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 43.9%.
Is The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Hershey Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.59. Based on the distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #811 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The Hershey Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score compare to TR and MDLZ?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #811 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The Hershey Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Hershey Co and its competitors. The Hershey Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Hershey Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co (MEX:HSY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN3,699.50, compared to a current price of MXN3,090.00 — trading 16.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.59. The Hershey Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Hershey Co (MEX:HSY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.59 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Hershey Co (MEX:HSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN3,090.00 is trading 16.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,699.50. GuruFocus considers The Hershey Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HSY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.59
  • GF Value™: MXN3,699.50 vs. price of MXN3,090.00 (16.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Hershey Co Business Description

Address 19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading US confectionery manufacturer (around a $55 billion market, according to Euromonitor), controlling 35% of the domestic chocolate aisle. Beyond its namesake label, the firm's portfolio has expanded over the last 85 years and now comprises 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, albeit with just a high-single-digit percentage of sales coming from markets outside the US, including Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confectionery business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its portfolio, as well as Pirate Brands, Dot's Pretzels, and LesserEvil over the past few years.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HSY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,090.00
Price
MXN3,699.50
GF Value