Kinross Gold (MEX:KGCN) Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (As of Aug. 09, 2026)

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MEX:KGCN Kinross Gold Corp MEX:KGCN
92 GF Score
Price MXN413.00
GF Value MXN347.96
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score?

Kinross Gold MEX:KGCN 92 Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:KGCN with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN347.96 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 677 Metals & Mining companies, Kinross Gold ranks better than 65.88% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:KGCN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.3   Med: -3.06   Max: -0.48
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kinross Gold was -0.48. The lowest was -4.30. And the median was -3.06.


Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Kinross Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.48 -3.13 -3.38 -3.15 -3.10

Kinross Gold Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.30 -3.45 -3.10 -2.83 -2.60

MEX:KGCN vs NEM, AU, RGLD: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:KGCN
92GF Score
Kinross Gold Corp MEX:KGCN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kinross Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0067+0.528 * 0.7829+0.404 * 0.9654+0.892 * 1.2568+0.115 * 1.1103
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8725+4.679 * -0.096294-0.327 * 0.844
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN2,270 Mil.
Revenue was 39052.607 + 43417.332 + 36425.531 + 33058.083 = MXN151,954 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22472.567 + 25994.137 + 22292.857 + 16841.81 = MXN87,601 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN74,013 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN237,247 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN148,407 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN19,845 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,729 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN25,591 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN12,891 Mil.
Net Income was 14730.446 + 15201.566 + 16322.167 + 10729.523 = MXN56,984 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -68.051 + -239.835 + -151.248 + 308.183 = MXN-151 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 19994.809 + 20548.262 + 20650.737 + 18786.295 = MXN79,980 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN1,794 Mil.
Revenue was 32546.272 + 30636.155 + 29527.5 + 28196.51 = MXN120,906 Mil.
Gross Profit was 16893.558 + 13551.512 + 11412.239 + 12712.058 = MXN54,569 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN51,754 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN215,847 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN150,120 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN22,622 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,489 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN18,202 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN23,280 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2270.115 / 151953.553) / (1794.423 / 120906.437)
=0.01494 / 0.014841
=1.0067

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(54569.367 / 120906.437) / (87601.371 / 151953.553)
=0.451335 / 0.576501
=0.7829

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (74013.423 + 148407.235) / 237247.073) / (1 - (51753.939 + 150119.563) / 215846.651)
=0.062494 / 0.064736
=0.9654

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=151953.553 / 120906.437
=1.2568

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22622.312 / (22622.312 + 150119.563)) / (19845.178 / (19845.178 + 148407.235))
=0.13096 / 0.117949
=1.1103

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2728.802 / 151953.553) / (2488.575 / 120906.437)
=0.017958 / 0.020583
=0.8725

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12891.321 + 25590.703) / 237247.073) / ((23280.423 + 18202.188) / 215846.651)
=0.162202 / 0.192186
=0.844

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(56983.702 - -150.951 - 79980.103) / 237247.073
=-0.096294

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kinross Gold has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 mean?
Kinross Gold (MEX:KGCN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 as of Aug. 09, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kinross Gold and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kinross Gold ranks #231 out of 677 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 34.1%.
Is Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score too high?
Kinross Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Based on the distribution chart, Kinross Gold ranks #231 out of 677 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Kinross Gold has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Kinross Gold ranks #231 out of 677 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Kinross Gold in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kinross Gold and its competitors. Kinross Gold's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kinross Gold stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kinross Gold (MEX:KGCN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN347.96, compared to a current price of MXN413.00 — trading 18.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Kinross Gold's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kinross Gold (MEX:KGCN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kinross Gold (MEX:KGCN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kinross Gold stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN413.00 is trading 18.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN347.96. GuruFocus considers Kinross Gold to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:KGCN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.60
  • GF Value™: MXN347.96 vs. price of MXN413.00 (18.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:KGCN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kinross Gold Business Description

Address 25 York Street, 17th Floor, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2V5
Kinross Gold is a Canada-based gold producer, producing roughly 2 million gold equivalent ounces in 2025. The company had about a decade of gold reserves at the end of 2025. It operates mines in the Americas and West Africa after selling its low-cost Russian operations in 2022 in response to the invasion of Ukraine. Kinross has historically used acquisitions to fuel expansion into new regions and production growth. In 2022, Kinross purchased the Great Bear project in Canada. If developed as we think likely, it could produce an average of more than 500,000 ounces of gold per year for at least a decade, with its unit cash costs likely in the first quartile of the industry cost curve. Though Great Bear's production is likely to be replacement ounces for falling volumes at other mines.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:KGCN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN413.00
Price
MXN347.96
GF Value