Mondelez International (MEX:MDLZ) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:MDLZ Mondelez International Inc MEX:MDLZ
62 GF Score
Price MXN1,092.00
GF Value MXN1,381.22
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Mondelez International Beneish M-Score?

Mondelez International MEX:MDLZ +5.25% 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MDLZ with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,381.22 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Mondelez International ranks worse than 56.84% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MDLZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.48   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mondelez International was -2.18. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.48.


Mondelez International Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mondelez International Beneish M-Score Chart

Mondelez International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.33 -2.40 -2.46 -2.37

Mondelez International Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -2.18 -2.22 -2.37 -2.44

MEX:MDLZ vs HSY, TR, SOWG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mondelez International Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:MDLZ
62GF Score
Mondelez International Inc MEX:MDLZ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mondelez International Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mondelez International for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9099+0.528 * 1.1371+0.404 * 0.9992+0.892 * 0.9914+0.115 * 0.976
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9515+4.679 * -0.012556-0.327 * 1.0249
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN97,052 Mil.
Revenue was 181769.616 + 188987.827 + 178745.885 + 169161.533 = MXN718,665 Mil.
Gross Profit was 50545.658 + 53224.849 + 47915.05 + 55301.36 = MXN206,987 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN229,827 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,282,522 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN203,625 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN25,198 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN134,926 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN423,786 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN289,713 Mil.
Net Income was 10098.312 + 11973.791 + 13629.741 + 12069.517 = MXN47,771 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1136.06 + -4015.271 + 1229.061 + -5008.567 = MXN-6,659 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 8421.271 + 43159.663 + 13152.791 + 5799.394 = MXN70,533 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN107,590 Mil.
Revenue was 190527.217 + 200298.143 + 181229.521 + 152844.619 = MXN724,900 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49713.426 + 77395.503 + 59051.21 + 51241.328 = MXN237,401 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN260,433 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,410,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN215,384 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN25,935 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN143,037 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN429,684 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN335,780 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(97051.991 / 718664.861) / (107589.674 / 724899.5)
=0.135045 / 0.14842
=0.9099

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(237401.467 / 724899.5) / (206986.917 / 718664.861)
=0.327496 / 0.288016
=1.1371

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (229826.762 + 203625.249) / 1282521.69) / (1 - (260432.886 + 215383.93) / 1410122.352)
=0.662031 / 0.662571
=0.9992

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=718664.861 / 724899.5
=0.9914

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(25935.418 / (25935.418 + 215383.93)) / (25198.382 / (25198.382 + 203625.249))
=0.107473 / 0.110121
=0.976

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(134925.931 / 718664.861) / (143036.77 / 724899.5)
=0.187745 / 0.197319
=0.9515

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((289713.358 + 423786.483) / 1282521.69) / ((335780.437 + 429683.575) / 1410122.352)
=0.556326 / 0.542835
=1.0249

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(47771.361 - -6658.717 - 70533.119) / 1282521.69
=-0.012556

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mondelez International has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
Mondelez International (MEX:MDLZ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mondelez International and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mondelez International ranks #1051 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 56.8%.
Is Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score too high?
Mondelez International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, Mondelez International ranks #1051 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Mondelez International has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mondelez International's Beneish M-Score compare to HSY and TR?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Mondelez International ranks #1051 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Mondelez International in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mondelez International and its competitors. Mondelez International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mondelez International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mondelez International (MEX:MDLZ) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,381.22, compared to a current price of MXN1,092.00 — trading 20.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Mondelez International's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mondelez International (MEX:MDLZ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mondelez International (MEX:MDLZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mondelez International stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,092.00 is trading 20.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,381.22. GuruFocus considers Mondelez International to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MDLZ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: MXN1,381.22 vs. price of MXN1,092.00 (20.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MDLZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mondelez International Business Description

Address 905 West Fulton Market, Suite 200, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
Mondelez has operated independently since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack enclave with a presence in the biscuit (48% of sales as of the end of fiscal 2025), chocolate (33%), gum/candy (10%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury. The firm derives around one-third of its revenue from developing markets, around 40% from Europe, and more than one-fourth from North America.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MDLZ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,092.00
Price
MXN1,381.22
GF Value