NIO (MEX:NION) Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MEX:NION NIO Inc MEX:NION
77 GF Score
Price MXN86.82
GF Value MXN130.12
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is NIO Beneish M-Score?

NIO MEX:NION -2.86% 77 Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:NION with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN130.12 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,273 Vehicles & Parts companies, NIO ranks better than 75.49% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NIO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:NION' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.96   Med: -2.72   Max: 156.96
Current: -2.81

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NIO was 156.96. The lowest was -5.96. And the median was -2.72.


NIO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NIO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NIO Beneish M-Score Chart

NIO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.57 -2.32 -2.88 -3.31 -2.81

NIO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.81 0.00

MEX:NION vs LI, XPEV, VFS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, NIO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NIO Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, NIO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NIO's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:NION
77GF Score
NIO Inc MEX:NION
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NIO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NIO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2962+0.528 * 0.7252+0.404 * 0.6521+0.892 * 1.1878+0.115 * 0.9097
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7673+4.679 * -0.143949-0.327 * 1.0381
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN52,396 Mil.
Revenue was MXN223,659 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN30,462 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN195,910 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN318,027 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN111,097 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN23,968 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN37,731 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN200,894 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN60,047 Mil.
Net Income was MXN-39,806 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN-1,677 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was MXN7,651 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN34,031 Mil.
Revenue was MXN188,289 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN18,599 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN177,274 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN308,235 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN114,582 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN22,059 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN41,399 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN178,491 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN65,130 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(52396.492 / 223658.828) / (34030.766 / 188289.268)
=0.23427 / 0.180737
=1.2962

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18598.637 / 188289.268) / (30462.092 / 223658.828)
=0.098777 / 0.136199
=0.7252

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (195909.739 + 111097.339) / 318027.103) / (1 - (177273.716 + 114582.268) / 308235.404)
=0.034651 / 0.053139
=0.6521

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=223658.828 / 188289.268
=1.1878

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22058.743 / (22058.743 + 114582.268)) / (23967.583 / (23967.583 + 111097.339))
=0.161436 / 0.177452
=0.9097

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(37730.508 / 223658.828) / (41398.789 / 188289.268)
=0.168697 / 0.219868
=0.7673

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((60046.992 + 200893.636) / 318027.103) / ((65129.512 + 178491.082) / 308235.404)
=0.820498 / 0.790372
=1.0381

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-39805.906 - -1676.763 - 7650.51) / 318027.103
=-0.143949

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NIO has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 mean?
NIO (MEX:NION) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NIO and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NIO ranks #312 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 24.5%.
Is NIO's Beneish M-Score too high?
NIO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Based on the distribution chart, NIO ranks #312 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, NIO has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NIO's Beneish M-Score compare to LI and XPEV?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, NIO ranks #312 out of 1273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places NIO in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NIO and its competitors. NIO's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NIO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NIO (MEX:NION) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN130.12, compared to a current price of MXN86.82 — trading 33.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. NIO's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NIO (MEX:NION), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NIO (MEX:NION) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NIO stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN86.82 is trading 33.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN130.12. GuruFocus considers NIO to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:NION:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.81
  • GF Value™: MXN130.12 vs. price of MXN86.82 (33.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:NION stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NIO Business Description

Address No. 1355, Caobao Road, Building 19, Minhang District, Shanghai, CHN
Nio is a leading electric vehicle maker, targeting the premium segment. Founded in November 2014, Nio designs, develops, jointly manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. The company differentiates itself through continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations, such as battery swapping and autonomous driving. Nio launched its first model, its ES8 seven-seater electric SUV, in December 2017, and began deliveries in June 2018. Its current model portfolio includes midsize to large sedans and SUVs. It sold around 326,000 EVs in 2025, accounting for about 2% of China's passenger new energy vehicle market.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:NION

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN86.82
Price
MXN130.12
GF Value