Natera (MEX:NTRA) Beneish M-Score: 0.25 (As of Jul. 22, 2026)

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MEX:NTRA Natera Inc MEX:NTRA
60 GF Score
Price MXN3,905.00
GF Value MXN2,983.49
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Natera Beneish M-Score?

Natera MEX:NTRA 60 Beneish M-Score is 0.25 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:NTRA with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,983.49 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 194 Medical Diagnostics & Research companies, Natera ranks worse than 94.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.25 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natera's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:NTRA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.57   Med: -2.63   Max: 2.03
Current: 0.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Natera was 2.03. The lowest was -3.57. And the median was -2.63.


Natera Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Natera's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Natera Beneish M-Score Chart

Natera Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.12 -3.00 -2.67 0.53

Natera Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.44 -3.44 0.53 0.25

MEX:NTRA vs WAT, A, IQV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Natera's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natera Beneish M-Score vs Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Natera's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natera's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:NTRA
60GF Score
Natera Inc MEX:NTRA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Natera Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Natera for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9219+0.528 * 0.9511+0.404 * 9.0605+0.892 * 1.2546+0.115 * 0.8714
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9925+4.679 * -0.170575-0.327 * 0.9941
=0.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN7,530 Mil.
Revenue was 12562.372 + 11982.757 + 10863.123 + 10292.041 = MXN45,700 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8129.736 + 8020.225 + 7051.18 + 6526.276 = MXN29,727 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN29,787 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN47,145 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN7,274 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN993 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN22,666 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN10,067 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN2,614 Mil.
Net Income was -1534.42 + 850.913 + -1605.925 + -1900.582 = MXN-4,190 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 724.392 + 1330.405 + 1089.407 + 707.488 = MXN3,852 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN6,510 Mil.
Revenue was 10266.539 + 9928.585 + 8658.967 + 7572.633 = MXN36,427 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6480.442 + 6249.16 + 5350.78 + 4454.936 = MXN22,535 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN28,977 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN35,441 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN5,628 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN658 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN18,202 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN7,481 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN2,108 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7530.365 / 45700.293) / (6510.474 / 36426.724)
=0.164777 / 0.178728
=0.9219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22535.318 / 36426.724) / (29727.417 / 45700.293)
=0.618648 / 0.650486
=0.9511

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (29786.648 + 7273.778) / 47144.655) / (1 - (28976.688 + 5627.723) / 35441.09)
=0.2139 / 0.023608
=9.0605

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=45700.293 / 36426.724
=1.2546

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(657.902 / (657.902 + 5627.723)) / (992.973 / (992.973 + 7273.778))
=0.104668 / 0.120116
=0.8714

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22666.069 / 45700.293) / (18202.411 / 36426.724)
=0.495972 / 0.499699
=0.9925

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2613.894 + 10066.881) / 47144.655) / ((2108.34 + 7481.093) / 35441.09)
=0.268976 / 0.270574
=0.9941

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-4190.014 - 0 - 3851.692) / 47144.655
=-0.170575

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Natera has a M-score of 0.10 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 0.25 mean?
Natera (MEX:NTRA) has a Beneish M-Score of 0.25 as of Jul. 22, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Natera and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Natera ranks #183 out of 194 companies in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry, placing it in the top 94.3%.
Is Natera's Beneish M-Score too high?
Natera's current Beneish M-Score is 0.25. Based on the distribution chart, Natera ranks #183 out of 194 companies in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Natera has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Natera's Beneish M-Score compare to WAT and A?
According to the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry distribution chart, Natera ranks #183 out of 194 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Natera in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Medical Diagnostics & Research company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Natera and its competitors. Natera's current Beneish M-Score is 0.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Natera stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natera (MEX:NTRA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,983.49, compared to a current price of MXN3,905.00 — trading 30.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 0.25. Natera's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Natera (MEX:NTRA), the current Beneish M-Score is 0.25 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Natera (MEX:NTRA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natera stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,905.00 is trading 30.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,983.49. GuruFocus considers Natera to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:NTRA:

  • Beneish M-Score: 0.25
  • GF Value™: MXN2,983.49 vs. price of MXN3,905.00 (30.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:NTRA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Natera Business Description

Other Exchanges NTRA:USA45E:Germany
Address 13011 McCallen Pass, Building A Suite 100, Austin, TX, USA, 78753
Natera Inc is a diagnostic and research company with proprietary molecular and bioinformatics technology. The company's key product offerings include its Panorama Non-Invasive Prenatal Test (NIPT) which screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus as well as in twin pregnancies, typically with a blood draw from the mother, Horizon Carrier Screening (HCS) to determine carrier status for a large number of severe genetic diseases that could be passed on to the carrier's children, Signatera molecular residual disease (MRD) test, which detects circulating tumor DNA in patients previously diagnosed with cancer to assess molecular residual disease and monitor for recurrence; and Prospera, to assess organ transplant rejection.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:NTRA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,905.00
Price
MXN2,983.49
GF Value