OceanaGold (MEX:OGCN) Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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MEX:OGCN OceanaGold Corp MEX:OGCN
85 GF Score
Price MXN466.16
GF Value MXN392.95
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is OceanaGold Beneish M-Score?

OceanaGold MEX:OGCN 85 Beneish M-Score is -3.03 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:OGCN with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN392.95. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 681 Metals & Mining companies, OceanaGold ranks better than 82.67% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.03 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:OGCN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.65   Med: -2.97   Max: -0.5
Current: -3.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of OceanaGold was -0.50. The lowest was -3.65. And the median was -2.97.


OceanaGold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

OceanaGold Beneish M-Score Chart

OceanaGold Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.44 -2.00 -3.11 -3.61 -3.11

OceanaGold Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.65 -3.08 -2.37 -3.11 -3.03

MEX:OGCN vs NEM, AU: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


OceanaGold Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:OGCN
85GF Score
OceanaGold Corp MEX:OGCN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

OceanaGold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of OceanaGold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9633+0.528 * 0.7223+0.404 * 0.8026+0.892 * 1.4816+0.115 * 1.2706
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0361+4.679 * -0.159676-0.327 * 1.3316
=-3.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN429 Mil.
Revenue was 12884.364 + 11746.919 + 8227.374 + 8141.746 = MXN41,000 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7279.801 + 6121.938 + 3261.599 + 3698.055 = MXN20,361 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN16,082 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN62,640 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN42,730 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,152 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,809 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN11,097 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN633 Mil.
Net Income was 4118.669 + 5900.468 + 1599.614 + 2148.412 = MXN13,767 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -463.44 + 3039.362 + -372.387 + -209.004 = MXN1,995 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6879.475 + 6449.642 + 4173.306 + 4272.345 = MXN21,775 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN301 Mil.
Revenue was 7362.906 + 8911.641 + 6797.092 + 4602.01 = MXN27,674 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3340.824 + 3580.924 + 2156.088 + 848.221 = MXN9,926 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN9,941 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN52,925 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN38,954 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN6,169 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,179 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN6,729 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN714 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(429.178 / 41000.403) / (300.736 / 27673.649)
=0.010468 / 0.010867
=0.9633

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9926.057 / 27673.649) / (20361.393 / 41000.403)
=0.358683 / 0.496614
=0.7223

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16081.562 + 42730.286) / 62640.19) / (1 - (9940.639 + 38954.459) / 52925.363)
=0.061116 / 0.07615
=0.8026

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=41000.403 / 27673.649
=1.4816

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6168.544 / (6168.544 + 38954.459)) / (5151.576 / (5151.576 + 42730.286))
=0.136705 / 0.107589
=1.2706

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1809.498 / 41000.403) / (1178.791 / 27673.649)
=0.044134 / 0.042596
=1.0361

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((632.948 + 11097.324) / 62640.19) / ((713.991 + 6728.702) / 52925.363)
=0.187264 / 0.140626
=1.3316

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13767.163 - 1994.531 - 21774.768) / 62640.19
=-0.159676

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

OceanaGold has a M-score of -3.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.03 mean?
OceanaGold (MEX:OGCN) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.03 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on OceanaGold and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, OceanaGold ranks #118 out of 681 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 17.3%.
Is OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score too high?
OceanaGold's current Beneish M-Score is -3.03. Based on the distribution chart, OceanaGold ranks #118 out of 681 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, OceanaGold has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does OceanaGold's Beneish M-Score compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, OceanaGold ranks #118 out of 681 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places OceanaGold in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on OceanaGold and its competitors. OceanaGold's current Beneish M-Score is -3.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is OceanaGold stock overvalued right now?
OceanaGold (MEX:OGCN) has a current Beneish M-Score of -3.03. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN392.95, compared to a current price of MXN466.16 — trading 18.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.03. OceanaGold's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For OceanaGold (MEX:OGCN), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.03 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is OceanaGold (MEX:OGCN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, OceanaGold stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN466.16 is trading 18.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN392.95.

Key valuation signals for MEX:OGCN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.03
  • GF Value™: MXN392.95 vs. price of MXN466.16 (18.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:OGCN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


OceanaGold Business Description

Address 400 Burrard Street, Suite 1020, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3A6
OceanaGold Corp is a growing intermediate gold and copper producer committed to safely and responsibly maximizing the generation of Free Cash Flow from its operations and delivering robust returns for its shareholders. It has a portfolio of four operating mines: the Haile Gold Mine in the United States of America; the Didipio Mine in the Philippines; and the Macraes and Waihi operations in New Zealand. The company generates key revenue from Haile mines.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:OGCN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN466.16
Price
MXN392.95
GF Value