PDD Holdings (MEX:PDDN) Beneish M-Score: -2.21 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


MEX:PDDN PDD Holdings Inc MEX:PDDN
64 GF Score
Price MXN1,445.57
GF Value MXN2,696.17
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score?

PDD Holdings MEX:PDDN +8.20% 64 Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PDDN with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,696.17 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,084 Retail - Cyclical companies, PDD Holdings ranks worse than 71.77% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:PDDN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.5   Med: -2.31   Max: 2.1
Current: -2.21

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PDD Holdings was 2.10. The lowest was -3.50. And the median was -2.31.


PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

PDD Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.78 -1.82 -2.28 -1.99

PDD Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.17 -2.45 -1.99 -2.21

MEX:PDDN vs MELI, DASH, SE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:PDDN
64GF Score
PDD Holdings Inc MEX:PDDN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PDD Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0801+0.528 * 1.0642+0.404 * 1.04+0.892 * 1.0341+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9438+4.679 * -0.011782-0.327 * 0.8883
=-2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN40,623 Mil.
Revenue was 277940.786 + 316777.288 + 278830.068 + 272679.962 = MXN1,146,228 Mil.
Gross Profit was 155248.515 + 175773.982 + 158208.851 + 152423.845 = MXN641,655 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN1,403,859 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,668,508 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN15,052 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN346,504 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN553,747 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN6,855 Mil.
Net Income was 32828.352 + 58847.463 + 75524.963 + 80644.949 = MXN247,846 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -5693.353 + -3233.968 + -807.526 + -1783.807 = MXN-11,519 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 43027.198 + 61660.795 + 117583.515 + 56751.026 = MXN279,023 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN36,368 Mil.
Revenue was 269995.298 + 316844.697 + 276472.295 + 245101.879 = MXN1,108,414 Mil.
Gross Profit was 154441.871 + 179925.364 + 165973.944 + 160004.959 = MXN660,346 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN1,263,660 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,497,158 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN18,151 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN355,020 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN556,022 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN10,232 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(40622.698 / 1146228.104) / (36367.683 / 1108414.169)
=0.03544 / 0.032811
=1.0801

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(660346.138 / 1108414.169) / (641655.193 / 1146228.104)
=0.595758 / 0.559797
=1.0642

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1403858.816 + 15052.324) / 1668508.136) / (1 - (1263660.237 + 18151.02) / 1497157.804)
=0.149593 / 0.143837
=1.04

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1146228.104 / 1108414.169
=1.0341

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 18151.02)) / (0 / (0 + 15052.324))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(346503.56 / 1146228.104) / (355019.725 / 1108414.169)
=0.302299 / 0.320295
=0.9438

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6855.048 + 553746.564) / 1668508.136) / ((10231.744 + 556022.195) / 1497157.804)
=0.33599 / 0.378219
=0.8883

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(247845.727 - -11518.654 - 279022.534) / 1668508.136
=-0.011782

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PDD Holdings has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 mean?
PDD Holdings (MEX:PDDN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PDD Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PDD Holdings ranks #778 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 71.8%.
Is PDD Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
PDD Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. Based on the distribution chart, PDD Holdings ranks #778 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, PDD Holdings has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PDD Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MELI and DASH?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, PDD Holdings ranks #778 out of 1084 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PDD Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PDD Holdings and its competitors. PDD Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PDD Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PDD Holdings (MEX:PDDN) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,696.17, compared to a current price of MXN1,445.57 — trading 46.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. PDD Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PDD Holdings (MEX:PDDN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PDD Holdings (MEX:PDDN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PDD Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,445.57 is trading 46.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,696.17. GuruFocus considers PDD Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PDDN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.21
  • GF Value™: MXN2,696.17 vs. price of MXN1,445.57 (46.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PDDN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PDD Holdings Business Description

Address 25 St Stephen’s Green, First Floor, Dublin 2, Dublin, IRL, D02 XF99
PDD Holdings operates commerce businesses globally. Its main operations are Pinduoduo, a social commerce platform in China, and Temu, a global e-commerce marketplace. PDD also has a community group purchase business in China. PDD has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities that support its underlying businesses. PDD has also started its first-party brand business for global markets.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PDDN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,445.57
Price
MXN2,696.17
GF Value