Phillips 66 (MEX:PSX) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:PSX Phillips 66 MEX:PSX
66 GF Score
Price MXN3,169.00
GF Value MXN2,552.07
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Phillips 66 Beneish M-Score?

Phillips 66 MEX:PSX 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PSX with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,552.07 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Phillips 66 ranks worse than 53.77% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:PSX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.21   Med: -2.54   Max: -1.29
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Phillips 66 was -1.29. The lowest was -3.21. And the median was -2.54.


Phillips 66 Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Phillips 66 Beneish M-Score Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.54 -2.64 -2.53 -2.97

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.66 -2.72 -2.97 -2.62

MEX:PSX vs MPC, VLO, DINO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66 Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:PSX
66GF Score
Phillips 66 MEX:PSX
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Phillips 66 Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Phillips 66 for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1363+0.528 * 0.6953+0.404 * 0.8059+0.892 * 0.9039+0.115 * 0.9505
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9062+4.679 * -0.006593-0.327 * 1.1226
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN214,769 Mil.
Revenue was 586784.058 + 614138.416 + 633150.063 + 627445.432 = MXN2,461,518 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49878.448 + 74777.672 + 63654.374 + 64584.156 = MXN252,895 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN494,024 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,516,262 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN705,962 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN55,308 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN44,966 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN436,229 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN336,779 Mil.
Net Income was 3732.769 + 52324.564 + 2439.779 + 16513.208 = MXN75,010 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 8006.519 + 35993.394 + -9080.379 + 3841.157 = MXN38,761 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -40826.033 + 49551.686 + 21609.468 + 15910.674 = MXN46,246 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN209,103 Mil.
Revenue was 622543.026 + 702524.254 + 699556.979 + 698527.208 = MXN2,723,151 Mil.
Gross Profit was 40486.778 + 44047.238 + 54955.627 + 55033.589 = MXN194,523 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN373,955 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,469,676 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN715,341 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN53,060 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN54,898 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN304,479 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN362,969 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(214769.457 / 2461517.969) / (209103.262 / 2723151.467)
=0.087251 / 0.076787
=1.1363

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(194523.232 / 2723151.467) / (252894.65 / 2461517.969)
=0.071433 / 0.102739
=0.6953

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (494023.85 + 705962.173) / 1516261.548) / (1 - (373955.438 + 715341.422) / 1469676.173)
=0.208589 / 0.258818
=0.8059

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2461517.969 / 2723151.467
=0.9039

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(53060.178 / (53060.178 + 715341.422)) / (55307.846 / (55307.846 + 705962.173))
=0.069053 / 0.072652
=0.9505

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(44965.861 / 2461517.969) / (54897.984 / 2723151.467)
=0.018268 / 0.02016
=0.9062

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((336778.705 + 436229.046) / 1516261.548) / ((362969.385 + 304479.391) / 1469676.173)
=0.509812 / 0.454147
=1.1226

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(75010.32 - 38760.691 - 46245.795) / 1516261.548
=-0.006593

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Phillips 66 has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
Phillips 66 (MEX:PSX) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Phillips 66 and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Phillips 66 ranks #442 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 53.8%.
Is Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score too high?
Phillips 66's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, Phillips 66 ranks #442 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Phillips 66 has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Phillips 66's Beneish M-Score compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Phillips 66 ranks #442 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Phillips 66 in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Phillips 66 and its competitors. Phillips 66's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Phillips 66 stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Phillips 66 (MEX:PSX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,552.07, compared to a current price of MXN3,169.00 — trading 24.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Phillips 66's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Phillips 66 (MEX:PSX), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Phillips 66 (MEX:PSX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Phillips 66 stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,169.00 is trading 24.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,552.07. GuruFocus considers Phillips 66 to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PSX:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: MXN2,552.07 vs. price of MXN3,169.00 (24.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PSX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Phillips 66 Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner that owns or holds interest in 10 refineries with a total crude throughput capacity of 2.0 million barrels per day, or mmb/d, at the end of 2025. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets. It includes 70,000 miles of crude oil, refined petroleum product, NGL and natural gas pipeline systems, and a comprehensive set of refined petroleum product, NGL and crude oil terminals, gathering and processing plants and fractionation facilities and various other storage and loading facilities. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities primarily in the United States and the Middle East and produces olefins and polyolefins.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PSX

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,169.00
Price
MXN2,552.07
GF Value