Saia (MEX:SAIA) Beneish M-Score: -2.82 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:SAIA Saia Inc MEX:SAIA
97 GF Score
Price MXN5,908.82
GF Value MXN6,193.61
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Saia Beneish M-Score?

Saia MEX:SAIA 97 Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SAIA with a GF Score™ of 97/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN6,193.61. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Saia ranks better than 72.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:SAIA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Saia was -2.27. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.84.


Saia Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Saia's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Saia Beneish M-Score Chart

Saia Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.57 -2.84 -2.76 -2.79

Saia Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.90 -2.71 -2.79 -2.82

MEX:SAIA vs KNX, SNDR, RXO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Saia's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saia Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Saia's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saia's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:SAIA
97GF Score
Saia Inc MEX:SAIA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Saia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Saia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9463+0.528 * 1.1608+0.404 * 1.0304+0.892 * 0.9271+0.115 * 0.8931
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1428+4.679 * -0.106325-0.327 * 0.7411
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN6,911 Mil.
Revenue was 14538.432 + 14223.639 + 15402.597 + 15385.622 = MXN59,550 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2036.307 + 1982.554 + 2742.329 + 2716.319 = MXN9,478 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN9,005 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN64,262 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN54,293 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN4,607 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,723 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN5,924 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN4,181 Mil.
Net Income was 899.273 + 855.613 + 1583.398 + 1344.235 = MXN4,683 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 13.344 + 5.618 + 11.997 + 16.438 = MXN47 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2517.978 + 2472.327 + 3262.516 + 3214.935 = MXN11,468 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN7,877 Mil.
Revenue was 16112.367 + 16454.146 + 16581.261 + 15081.915 = MXN64,230 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2306.785 + 3076.07 + 3248.821 + 3234.304 = MXN11,866 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN9,607 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN68,846 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN58,237 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN4,374 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,626 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN6,704 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN7,903 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6910.744 / 59550.29) / (7876.878 / 64229.689)
=0.116049 / 0.122636
=0.9463

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11865.98 / 64229.689) / (9477.509 / 59550.29)
=0.184743 / 0.159151
=1.1608

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9005.386 + 54292.583) / 64261.997) / (1 - (9607.253 + 58236.721) / 68846.364)
=0.015002 / 0.01456
=1.0304

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=59550.29 / 64229.689
=0.9271

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4374.115 / (4374.115 + 58236.721)) / (4607.258 / (4607.258 + 54292.583))
=0.069862 / 0.078222
=0.8931

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1722.555 / 59550.29) / (1625.791 / 64229.689)
=0.028926 / 0.025312
=1.1428

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4180.827 + 5923.652) / 64261.997) / ((7902.798 + 6704.111) / 68846.364)
=0.157239 / 0.212167
=0.7411

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4682.519 - 47.397 - 11467.756) / 64261.997
=-0.106325

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Saia has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 mean?
Saia (MEX:SAIA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.82 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Saia ranks #267 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 27.6%.
Is Saia's Beneish M-Score too high?
Saia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Based on the distribution chart, Saia ranks #267 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Saia has a GF Score™ of 97/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Saia's Beneish M-Score compare to KNX and SNDR?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Saia ranks #267 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Saia in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saia and its competitors. Saia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Saia stock overvalued right now?
Saia (MEX:SAIA) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.82. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN6,193.61, compared to a current price of MXN5,908.82 — trading 4.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.82. Saia's overall GF Score™ is 97/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Saia (MEX:SAIA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.82 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Saia (MEX:SAIA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saia stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN5,908.82 is trading 4.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN6,193.61.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SAIA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.82
  • GF Value™: MXN6,193.61 vs. price of MXN5,908.82 (4.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 97/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SAIA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Saia Business Description

Other Exchanges SAIA:USASQR:Germany
Address 11465 Johns Creek Parkway, Suite 400, Johns Creek, GA, USA, 30097
Saia ranks among the 10 largest less-than-truckload carriers in the United States, with more than 210 facilities and a fleet of more than 7,500 tractors and 26,000 trailers. As a national LTL carrier, the firm offers time-definite and expedited options for shipments ranging between 100 and 10,000 pounds. Saia ranks among the top-tier providers in terms of profitability.
97GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SAIA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN5,908.82
Price
MXN6,193.61
GF Value