JM Smucker Co (MEX:SJM) Beneish M-Score: -2.52 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MEX:SJM JM Smucker Co MEX:SJM
66 GF Score
Price MXN1,799.00
GF Value MXN1,917.39
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score?

JM Smucker Co MEX:SJM 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SJM with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,917.39. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, JM Smucker Co ranks worse than 50.46% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:SJM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.51   Max: -2.33
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of JM Smucker Co was -2.33. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.51.


JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Chart

JM Smucker Co Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.48 -2.39 -2.72 -2.52

JM Smucker Co Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.65 -2.65 -2.61 -2.52

MEX:SJM vs SFD, DAR, MKC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:SJM
66GF Score
JM Smucker Co MEX:SJM
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of JM Smucker Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9994+0.528 * 1.1625+0.404 * 0.9804+0.892 * 0.9485+0.115 * 0.8934
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9467+4.679 * -0.036549-0.327 * 1.0035
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN11,496 Mil.
Revenue was 39728.266 + 40586.952 + 43215.2 + 39723.7 = MXN163,254 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15100.63 + 14361.751 + 16133.6 + 8922.936 = MXN54,519 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN34,561 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN284,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN55,717 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN10,053 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN27,048 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN44,459 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN114,172 Mil.
Net Income was 6797.998 + -12564.363 + 4475.27 + -825.188 = MXN-2,116 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -586.789 + -16927.712 + -131.68 + -148.496 = MXN-17,795 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 10145.325 + 9689.584 + 6426.362 + -199.248 = MXN26,062 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN12,127 Mil.
Revenue was 42000.043 + 45094.994 + 45495.316 + 39521.547 = MXN172,112 Mil.
Gross Profit was 16129.6 + 18114.325 + 17749.824 + 14825.927 = MXN66,820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN42,055 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN344,090 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN62,595 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN9,899 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN30,121 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN51,956 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN139,508 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11495.816 / 163254.118) / (12127.077 / 172111.9)
=0.070417 / 0.07046
=0.9994

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(66819.676 / 172111.9) / (54518.917 / 163254.118)
=0.388234 / 0.333951
=1.1625

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (34561.017 + 55716.963) / 284100.633) / (1 - (42054.899 + 62594.523) / 344089.636)
=0.682232 / 0.695866
=0.9804

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=163254.118 / 172111.9
=0.9485

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9899.477 / (9899.477 + 62594.523)) / (10053.265 / (10053.265 + 55716.963))
=0.136556 / 0.152854
=0.8934

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(27047.731 / 163254.118) / (30120.86 / 172111.9)
=0.165679 / 0.175007
=0.9467

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((114171.691 + 44459.365) / 284100.633) / ((139508.4 + 51956.393) / 344089.636)
=0.558362 / 0.556439
=1.0035

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-2116.283 - -17794.677 - 26062.023) / 284100.633
=-0.036549

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

JM Smucker Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 mean?
JM Smucker Co (MEX:SJM) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on JM Smucker Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, JM Smucker Co ranks #933 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 50.5%.
Is JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
JM Smucker Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Based on the distribution chart, JM Smucker Co ranks #933 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, JM Smucker Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SFD and DAR?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, JM Smucker Co ranks #933 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places JM Smucker Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on JM Smucker Co and its competitors. JM Smucker Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is JM Smucker Co stock overvalued right now?
JM Smucker Co (MEX:SJM) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.52. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,917.39, compared to a current price of MXN1,799.00 — trading 6.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. JM Smucker Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For JM Smucker Co (MEX:SJM), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is JM Smucker Co (MEX:SJM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, JM Smucker Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,799.00 is trading 6.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,917.39.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SJM:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.52
  • GF Value™: MXN1,917.39 vs. price of MXN1,799.00 (6.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SJM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


JM Smucker Co Business Description

Address One Strawberry Lane, Orrville, OH, USA, 44667-0280
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the US retail channel (73% of fiscal 2025 revenue came through its retail pet foods, coffee, and frozen handheld/spreads segments), with the remaining share consisting of sweet baked snacks (through the Hostess acquisition) and international (primarily Canada). Retail coffee is its largest category (32% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (19% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from frozen handhelds and spreads, through brands Jif, Smucker's, and Uncrustables. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SJM

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,799.00
Price
MXN1,917.39
GF Value