Target Hospitality (MEX:TH) Beneish M-Score: -2.04 (As of Jul. 18, 2026)

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MEX:TH Target Hospitality Corp MEX:TH
66 GF Score
Price MXN188.36
GF Value MXN83.98
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Target Hospitality Beneish M-Score?

Target Hospitality MEX:TH 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:TH with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN83.98. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,022 Business Services companies, Target Hospitality ranks worse than 79.65% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:TH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -474.37   Med: -2.96   Max: -1.62
Current: -2.04

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Target Hospitality was -1.62. The lowest was -474.37. And the median was -2.96.


Target Hospitality Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Target Hospitality Beneish M-Score Chart

Target Hospitality Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -3.60 -3.40 -1.81 -3.22 -1.76

Target Hospitality Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.14 -2.70 -1.76 -2.04

MEX:TH vs TIC, CMPR, CBZ: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Target Hospitality Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:TH
66GF Score
Target Hospitality Corp MEX:TH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Target Hospitality Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Target Hospitality for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8238+0.528 * 4.3105+0.404 * 0.9665+0.892 * 0.8574+0.115 * 0.9749
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1546+4.679 * -0.227647-0.327 * 1.097
=-2.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN823 Mil.
Revenue was 1312.438 + 1616.498 + 1822.588 + 1159.992 = MXN5,912 Mil.
Gross Profit was 124.119 + 127.444 + 329.187 + -6.176 = MXN575 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN1,057 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN9,729 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN7,131 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,378 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,064 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,248 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN580 Mil.
Net Income was -232.964 + -268.897 + -14.584 + -281.139 = MXN-798 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 126.95 + 103.263 + 978.773 + 208.289 = MXN1,417 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN1,165 Mil.
Revenue was 1429.967 + 1745.372 + 1874.339 + 1845.219 = MXN6,895 Mil.
Gross Profit was 367.511 + 772.307 + 890.198 + 858.663 = MXN2,889 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN2,037 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN11,508 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN7,584 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,422 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,075 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN937 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(822.904 / 5911.516) / (1165.074 / 6894.897)
=0.139204 / 0.168976
=0.8238

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2888.679 / 6894.897) / (574.574 / 5911.516)
=0.418959 / 0.097196
=4.3105

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1056.824 + 7131.248) / 9729.363) / (1 - (2037.412 + 7584.407) / 11508.147)
=0.158416 / 0.163912
=0.9665

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5911.516 / 6894.897
=0.8574

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1421.736 / (1421.736 + 7584.407)) / (1377.823 / (1377.823 + 7131.248))
=0.157863 / 0.161924
=0.9749

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1064.206 / 5911.516) / (1074.997 / 6894.897)
=0.180023 / 0.155912
=1.1546

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((579.535 + 1248.332) / 9729.363) / ((937.456 + 1033.385) / 11508.147)
=0.187871 / 0.171256
=1.097

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-797.584 - 0 - 1417.275) / 9729.363
=-0.227647

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Target Hospitality has a M-score of -2.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 mean?
Target Hospitality (MEX:TH) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.04 as of Jul. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Target Hospitality and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Target Hospitality ranks #814 out of 1022 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 79.6%.
Is Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score too high?
Target Hospitality's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. Based on the distribution chart, Target Hospitality ranks #814 out of 1022 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Target Hospitality has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Target Hospitality's Beneish M-Score compare to TIC and CMPR?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Target Hospitality ranks #814 out of 1022 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Target Hospitality in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Target Hospitality and its competitors. Target Hospitality's current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Target Hospitality stock overvalued right now?
Target Hospitality (MEX:TH) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.04. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN83.98, compared to a current price of MXN188.36 — trading 124.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.04. Target Hospitality's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Target Hospitality (MEX:TH), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.04 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Target Hospitality (MEX:TH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Target Hospitality stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN188.36 is trading 124.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN83.98.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.04
  • GF Value™: MXN83.98 vs. price of MXN188.36 (124.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Target Hospitality Business Description

Other Exchanges TH:USA
Address 9320 Lakeside Boulevard, Suite 300, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77381
Target Hospitality Corp is a vertically integrated specialty rental and hospitality services company in the United States. The company provides vertically integrated specialty rental and comprehensive hospitality services, including catering food services, maintenance, housekeeping, grounds-keeping, on-site security, overall workforce lodge management, and laundry service. The company has three reportable segments: HFS - South, which provides specialty rental and hospitality services to the natural resources and development industry; WHS, which provides construction and hospitality solutions for critical mineral and data center projects; and Government, which provides specialty rental and hospitality services under government contracts.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN188.36
Price
MXN83.98
GF Value