Trinity Industries (MEX:TRN) Beneish M-Score: -2.80 (As of Jul. 23, 2026)

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MEX:TRN Trinity Industries Inc MEX:TRN
74 GF Score
Price MXN551.50
GF Value MXN325.79
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Trinity Industries Beneish M-Score?

Trinity Industries MEX:TRN 74 Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:TRN with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN325.79. The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Trinity Industries ranks better than 70.39% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trinity Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:TRN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.57   Max: -1.17
Current: -2.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Trinity Industries was -1.17. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.57.


Trinity Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trinity Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trinity Industries Beneish M-Score Chart

Trinity Industries Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.34 -1.88 -2.33 -2.83 -2.60

Trinity Industries Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 -2.95 -2.95 -2.60 -2.80

MEX:TRN vs GBX, FSTR, RAIL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Trinity Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trinity Industries Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Trinity Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trinity Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:TRN
74GF Score
Trinity Industries Inc MEX:TRN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trinity Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Trinity Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2532+0.528 * 0.8365+0.404 * 1.048+0.892 * 0.671+0.115 * 0.8832
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2668+4.679 * -0.05183-0.327 * 0.9977
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN6,389 Mil.
Revenue was 8872.088 + 11005.084 + 8330.101 + 9531.341 = MXN37,739 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2324.415 + 2803.487 + 2593.87 + 2511.815 = MXN10,234 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN19,657 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN150,225 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN119,791 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,553 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN3,929 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN9,379 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN97,057 Mil.
Net Income was 436.391 + 3359.864 + 555.829 + 265.492 = MXN4,618 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 402.129 + 4490.622 + 399.904 + 182.643 = MXN5,475 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1763.598 + 3194.211 + 810.814 + 1159.879 = MXN6,929 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN7,598 Mil.
Revenue was 11976.23 + 13126.578 + 15728.612 + 15414.535 = MXN56,246 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2909.156 + 3232.633 + 3337.506 + 3279.298 = MXN12,759 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN21,608 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN177,264 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN143,522 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,844 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN4,622 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN10,992 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN114,897 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6388.986 / 37738.614) / (7598.175 / 56245.955)
=0.169296 / 0.135088
=1.2532

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12758.593 / 56245.955) / (10233.587 / 37738.614)
=0.226836 / 0.27117
=0.8365

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (19657.446 + 119791.226) / 150225.014) / (1 - (21607.951 + 143522.456) / 177264.166)
=0.071735 / 0.06845
=1.048

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=37738.614 / 56245.955
=0.671

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5844.44 / (5844.44 + 143522.456)) / (5552.848 / (5552.848 + 119791.226))
=0.039128 / 0.044301
=0.8832

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3928.575 / 37738.614) / (4621.906 / 56245.955)
=0.1041 / 0.082173
=1.2668

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((97057.401 + 9378.807) / 150225.014) / ((114897.343 + 10992.191) / 177264.166)
=0.708512 / 0.71018
=0.9977

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4617.576 - 5475.298 - 6928.502) / 150225.014
=-0.05183

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Trinity Industries has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 mean?
Trinity Industries (MEX:TRN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 as of Jul. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trinity Industries and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Trinity Industries ranks #286 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 29.6%.
Is Trinity Industries' Beneish M-Score too high?
Trinity Industries' current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Based on the distribution chart, Trinity Industries ranks #286 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Trinity Industries has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trinity Industries' Beneish M-Score compare to GBX and FSTR?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Trinity Industries ranks #286 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Trinity Industries in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trinity Industries and its competitors. Trinity Industries's current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trinity Industries stock overvalued right now?
Trinity Industries (MEX:TRN) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.80. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN325.79, compared to a current price of MXN551.50 — trading 69.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Trinity Industries' overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trinity Industries (MEX:TRN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trinity Industries (MEX:TRN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trinity Industries stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN551.50 is trading 69.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN325.79.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TRN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.80
  • GF Value™: MXN325.79 vs. price of MXN551.50 (69.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trinity Industries Business Description

Other Exchanges TRN:USA
Address 14221 North Dallas Parkway, Suite 1100, Dallas, TX, USA, 75254-2957
Trinity Industries Inc sells and leases railroad products and railcar maintenance services in North America. The company operates under the name TrinityRail in two main segments: railcar leasing and management services, which owns railcars and provides fleet management and administration services; rail products, which builds, sells, and modifies freight and tank railcars and their components; and all other, which sells highway products such as guardrail and other highway barriers. Customers include railroads, leasing companies, and shipping companies in agriculture, construction, consumer products, energy, and chemicals.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TRN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN551.50
Price
MXN325.79
GF Value