West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd (MEX:WFGN) Beneish M-Score: -2.79 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:WFGN West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd MEX:WFGN
73 GF Score
Price MXN1,894.00
GF Value MXN1,808.06
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Beneish M-Score?

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd MEX:WFGN 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:WFGN with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,808.06. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd ranks better than 72.53% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:WFGN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd was -1.49. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.61.


West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Beneish M-Score Chart

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.72 -2.46 -2.49 -2.88 -2.62

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.84 -2.71 -2.62 -2.79

MEX:WFGN vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:WFGN
73GF Score
West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd MEX:WFGN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0388+0.528 * 1.3983+0.404 * 0.9771+0.892 * 0.8245+0.115 * 0.8981
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0869+4.679 * -0.065895-0.327 * 1.4065
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN8,043 Mil.
Revenue was 24055.622 + 20976.641 + 23975.869 + 28846.334 = MXN97,854 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6221.282 + 3871.226 + 3723.873 + 7211.584 = MXN21,028 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN27,662 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN138,311 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN64,034 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN10,026 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN18,936 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN15,057 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN5,861 Mil.
Net Income was -3390.148 + -13522.281 + -3742.217 + -451.901 = MXN-21,107 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 234.425 + -12640.001 + 201.786 + -56.488 = MXN-12,260 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -3065.559 + -3096.98 + 1063.964 + 5366.322 = MXN268 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN9,390 Mil.
Revenue was 29848.514 + 29302.258 + 28294.961 + 31235.776 = MXN118,682 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9779.02 + 8217.146 + 7186.96 + 10479.099 = MXN35,662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN39,321 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN179,418 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN78,212 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN10,826 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN21,131 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN18,801 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN491 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8042.584 / 97854.466) / (9390.314 / 118681.509)
=0.082189 / 0.079122
=1.0388

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(35662.225 / 118681.509) / (21027.965 / 97854.466)
=0.300487 / 0.21489
=1.3983

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (27662.162 + 64034.118) / 138310.809) / (1 - (39320.66 + 78211.699) / 179418.414)
=0.337027 / 0.344926
=0.9771

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=97854.466 / 118681.509
=0.8245

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10825.541 / (10825.541 + 78211.699)) / (10026.22 / (10026.22 + 64034.118))
=0.121584 / 0.135379
=0.8981

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18936.212 / 97854.466) / (21130.585 / 118681.509)
=0.193514 / 0.178044
=1.0869

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5860.628 + 15057.305) / 138310.809) / ((490.997 + 18801.086) / 179418.414)
=0.151239 / 0.107526
=1.4065

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-21106.547 - -12260.278 - 267.747) / 138310.809
=-0.065895

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 mean?
West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd (MEX:WFGN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd ranks #75 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 27.5%.
Is West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score too high?
West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. Based on the distribution chart, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd ranks #75 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd ranks #75 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd and its competitors. West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd stock overvalued right now?
West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd (MEX:WFGN) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.79. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,808.06, compared to a current price of MXN1,894.00 — trading 4.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd (MEX:WFGN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd (MEX:WFGN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,894.00 is trading 4.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,808.06.

Key valuation signals for MEX:WFGN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.79
  • GF Value™: MXN1,808.06 vs. price of MXN1,894.00 (4.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:WFGN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd Business Description

Address 885 West Georgia Street, Suite 1500, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3E8
West Fraser Timber is a softwood lumber company that also produces wood panels and pulp products. The company produces its wood products globally, with lumber mills in British Columbia, Alberta, Europe, and the Southeastern United States. Following its acquisition of Norbord in 2021, West Fraser is one of the largest oriented strand board producers in the world.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:WFGN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,894.00
Price
MXN1,808.06
GF Value