Yum China Holdings (MEX:YUMC) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jul. 12, 2026)


MEX:YUMC Yum China Holdings Inc MEX:YUMC
85 GF Score
Price MXN715.00
GF Value MXN1,013.41
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Yum China Holdings MEX:YUMC 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:YUMC with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,013.41 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 355 Restaurants companies, Yum China Holdings ranks worse than 66.48% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:YUMC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.2
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Yum China Holdings was -1.20. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.58.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Yum China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -1.81 -2.51 -2.55 -2.45

Yum China Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.58 -2.53 -2.45 -2.58

MEX:YUMC vs TXRH, DPZ, BROS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:YUMC
85GF Score
Yum China Holdings Inc MEX:YUMC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Yum China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0464+0.528 * 0.9827+0.404 * 0.9932+0.892 * 0.9842+0.115 * 1.0504
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9576+4.679 * -0.051729-0.327 * 1.0514
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN6,257 Mil.
Revenue was 58984.962 + 50830.091 + 58811.505 + 52476.98 = MXN221,104 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11090.111 + 7364.331 + 10676.324 + 8962.699 = MXN38,093 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN41,818 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN195,420 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN87,783 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN8,343 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN10,603 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN41,547 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN33,397 Mil.
Net Income was 5572.104 + 2520.798 + 5173.064 + 4048.278 = MXN17,314 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -198.36 + -252.08 + -256.819 + -546.047 = MXN-1,253 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 9917.985 + 2250.713 + 8750.183 + 7757.63 = MXN28,677 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN6,076 Mil.
Revenue was 60985.894 + 54120.541 + 60468.911 + 49079.556 = MXN224,655 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11702.09 + 7424.629 + 10829.665 + 8079.165 = MXN38,036 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN56,260 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN225,081 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN92,492 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN9,278 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN11,250 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN44,803 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN37,295 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6257.347 / 221103.538) / (6076.085 / 224654.902)
=0.028301 / 0.027046
=1.0464

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(38035.549 / 224654.902) / (38093.465 / 221103.538)
=0.169307 / 0.172288
=0.9827

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (41817.831 + 87783.184) / 195420.37) / (1 - (56260.05 + 92491.522) / 225081.117)
=0.336809 / 0.33912
=0.9932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=221103.538 / 224654.902
=0.9842

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9278.092 / (9278.092 + 92491.522)) / (8342.933 / (8342.933 + 87783.184))
=0.091168 / 0.086792
=1.0504

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10603.289 / 221103.538) / (11250.247 / 224654.902)
=0.047956 / 0.050078
=0.9576

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((33396.56 + 41547.341) / 195420.37) / ((37295.299 + 44803.458) / 225081.117)
=0.383501 / 0.364752
=1.0514

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17314.244 - -1253.306 - 28676.511) / 195420.37
=-0.051729

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Yum China Holdings has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Yum China Holdings (MEX:YUMC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yum China Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 66.5%.
Is Yum China Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Yum China Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Yum China Holdings has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Yum China Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to TXRH and DPZ?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Yum China Holdings ranks #236 out of 355 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Yum China Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Yum China Holdings and its competitors. Yum China Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Yum China Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yum China Holdings (MEX:YUMC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,013.41, compared to a current price of MXN715.00 — trading 29.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Yum China Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 85/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Yum China Holdings (MEX:YUMC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Yum China Holdings (MEX:YUMC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Yum China Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN715.00 is trading 29.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,013.41. GuruFocus considers Yum China Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:YUMC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: MXN1,013.41 vs. price of MXN715.00 (29.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:YUMC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Yum China Holdings Business Description

Address 20 Tian Yao Qiao Road, Yum China Building, Shanghai, CHN, 200030
Yum China is the largest restaurant operator in China, with over 18,000 locations and USD 12 billion in systemwide sales as of 2025. It generates revenue primarily from its own restaurants and franchise fees. While KFC and Pizza Hut are its flagship brands, Yum China's portfolio also includes Little Sheep, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, and Lavazza.As a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, Yum China pays 3% of KFC and Pizza Hut's systemwide sales to its former parent, from which it spun off in 2016. However, even before the separation, Yum China was granted substantial autonomy, giving its Chinese leadership decision-making authority over menu, supply chain, and marketing—an unusual practice for Western chains at the time.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:YUMC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN715.00
Price
MXN1,013.41
GF Value