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Severstal PAO (MIC:CHMF) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Severstal PAO Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIC:CHMF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.97   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.05
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Severstal PAO was -2.05. The lowest was -4.97. And the median was -2.69.


Severstal PAO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Severstal PAO Beneish M-Score Chart

Severstal PAO Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -3.27 -2.53 -3.03 -2.48

Severstal PAO Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.57 -3.03 -2.09 -2.48

Competitive Comparison of Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Severstal PAO's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Severstal PAO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Severstal PAO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0188+0.528 * 0.9313+0.404 * 0.6576+0.892 * 1.0676+0.115 * 1.1538
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8584+4.679 * 0.014751-0.327 * 1.0402
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₽43,319 Mil.
Revenue was ₽728,314 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽318,959 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽568,769 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽994,115 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽388,932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽34,734 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽71,837 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽279,226 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽63,573 Mil.
Net Income was ₽193,861 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₽179,197 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₽39,830 Mil.
Revenue was ₽682,226 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽278,246 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽341,404 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽729,835 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽347,777 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽36,336 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽78,391 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽152,020 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽89,928 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(43319 / 728314) / (39830 / 682226)
=0.059478 / 0.058382
=1.0188

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(278246 / 682226) / (318959 / 728314)
=0.40785 / 0.437942
=0.9313

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (568769 + 388932) / 994115) / (1 - (341404 + 347777) / 729835)
=0.03663 / 0.055703
=0.6576

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=728314 / 682226
=1.0676

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(36336 / (36336 + 347777)) / (34734 / (34734 + 388932))
=0.094597 / 0.081984
=1.1538

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(71837 / 728314) / (78391 / 682226)
=0.098635 / 0.114905
=0.8584

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((63573 + 279226) / 994115) / ((89928 + 152020) / 729835)
=0.344828 / 0.331511
=1.0402

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(193861 - 0 - 179197) / 994115
=0.014751

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Severstal PAO has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Severstal PAO Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Severstal PAO Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Klary Tsetkin Street, 2, Moscow, RUS, 127299
Severstal PAO is a vertically integrated steel and mining company in Russia. The company has two operating divisions: Severstal Resources and Severstal Russian Steel. Its core asset is the Cherepovets steel mill, which is located within easy access of the company's mining operations, the Baltic ports, and Russia's industrial heartland. The company produces iron ore pellets, iron ore concentrates, crushed stones, ferrite strontium powder, coking & steam coal, and coking coal concentrate. These materials are provided to six industry categories: construction and service processing, tube and pipe, oil and gas, machinery, autos, and others. Construction and service processing accounts for a majority of sales. Severstal generates most of its revenue in Russia.

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