Ball (MIL:1BALL) Beneish M-Score: -2.43 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MIL:1BALL Ball Corp MIL:1BALL
85 GF Score
Price €42.36
GF Value €51.13
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Ball Beneish M-Score?

Ball MIL:1BALL 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:1BALL with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of €51.13. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Ball ranks worse than 61.39% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ball's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1BALL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.27
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ball was -1.27. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.50.


Ball Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ball's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ball Beneish M-Score Chart

Ball Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -2.28 -2.96 -1.33 -2.39

Ball Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.38 -2.35 -2.39 -2.43

MIL:1BALL vs AVY, IP, AMCR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Ball's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ball Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ball's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ball's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MIL:1BALL
85GF Score
Ball Corp MIL:1BALL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ball Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ball for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9766+0.528 * 1.0651+0.404 * 0.9274+0.892 * 1.0545+0.115 * 1.0266
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8921+4.679 * -0.011212-0.327 * 1.0455
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,512 Mil.
Revenue was 3116.595 + 2858.338 + 2878.908 + 2894.046 = €11,748 Mil.
Gross Profit was 558.79 + 553.392 + 577.656 + 561.816 = €2,252 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,379 Mil.
Total Assets was €17,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,192 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €542 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €487 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,809 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6,073 Mil.
Net Income was 177.325 + 170.8 + 273.492 + 183.804 = €805 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -9.515 + -26.474 + 66.456 + -10.404 = €20 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -672.105 + 1034.194 + 327.168 + 287.844 = €977 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,439 Mil.
Revenue was 2864.725 + 2750.4 + 2776.882 + 2748.911 = €11,141 Mil.
Gross Profit was 558.7 + 564.405 + 591.957 + 559.258 = €2,274 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,662 Mil.
Total Assets was €16,686 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6,206 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €559 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €518 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,482 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,674 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2511.96 / 11747.887) / (2439.225 / 11140.918)
=0.213822 / 0.218943
=0.9766

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2274.32 / 11140.918) / (2251.654 / 11747.887)
=0.204141 / 0.191665
=1.0651

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5379.435 + 6191.67) / 17101.05) / (1 - (4662 + 6205.825) / 16686.075)
=0.323369 / 0.348689
=0.9274

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11747.887 / 11140.918
=1.0545

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(559.313 / (559.313 + 6205.825)) / (542.322 / (542.322 + 6191.67))
=0.082676 / 0.080535
=1.0266

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(487.389 / 11747.887) / (518.093 / 11140.918)
=0.041487 / 0.046504
=0.8921

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6073.165 + 4808.535) / 17101.05) / ((5673.95 + 4481.625) / 16686.075)
=0.636318 / 0.608626
=1.0455

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(805.421 - 20.063 - 977.101) / 17101.05
=-0.011212

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ball has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 mean?
Ball (MIL:1BALL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ball and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ball ranks #229 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 61.4%.
Is Ball's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ball's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Based on the distribution chart, Ball ranks #229 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Ball has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ball's Beneish M-Score compare to AVY and IP?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Ball ranks #229 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Ball in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ball and its competitors. Ball's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ball stock overvalued right now?
Ball (MIL:1BALL) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.43. The stock's GF Value™ is €51.13, compared to a current price of €42.36 — trading 17.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Ball's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ball (MIL:1BALL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ball (MIL:1BALL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ball stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €42.36 is trading 17.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €51.13.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1BALL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.43
  • GF Value™: €51.13 vs. price of €42.36 (17.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1BALL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ball Business Description

Address 9200 West 108th Circle, Westminster, CO, USA, 80021
Ball is the world's largest metal can manufacturer with market share over 30% in its three main regions (North America, Europe, and South America). The company is focused on increasing capacity amid a wave of new developed-market demand, while also investing in faster-growing emerging-market economies. Ball spun-off its glass jar business in 1993 and is now owned by Newell. The company reports three segments—beverage packaging, North and Central America (48% of 2025 revenue), beverage packaging, EMEA (30%), beverage packaging, South America (16%)—and it generated $13 billion in revenue in 2025.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1BALL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€42.36
Price
€51.13
GF Value