The Hershey Co (MIL:1HSY) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Aug. 01, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MIL:1HSY The Hershey Co MIL:1HSY
59 GF Score
Price €151.95
GF Value €179.99
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score?

The Hershey Co MIL:1HSY +0.50% 59 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:1HSY with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of €179.99 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,853 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, The Hershey Co ranks better than 54.45% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1HSY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.56   Max: -2.11
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Hershey Co was -2.11. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.56.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The Hershey Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.61 -2.45 -2.56 -2.77

The Hershey Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.79 -2.77 -2.59 -2.68

MIL:1HSY vs TR, SOWG, RMCF: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MIL:1HSY
59GF Score
The Hershey Co MIL:1HSY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Hershey Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0923+0.528 * 1.051+0.404 * 1.122+0.892 * 1.0139+0.115 * 0.9653
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9758+4.679 * -0.078489-0.327 * 0.9672
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €788 Mil.
Revenue was 2419.382 + 2685.104 + 2639.732 + 2710.568 = €10,455 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1096.551 + 1057.662 + 977.674 + 883.809 = €4,016 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,434 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,129 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,279 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €455 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,910 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,294 Mil.
Net Income was 397.253 + 376.366 + 273.295 + 235.425 = €1,282 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.917 + -3.614 + -24.817 + -11.425 = €-44 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 363.966 + 405.517 + 791.276 + 717.312 = €2,278 Mil.
Total Receivables was €711 Mil.
Revenue was 2266.961 + 2595.013 + 2757.601 + 2691.732 = €10,311 Mil.
Gross Profit was 690.369 + 873.447 + 1488.218 + 1110.68 = €4,163 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,837 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,831 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,286 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €438 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,168 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,508 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,757 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(787.595 / 10454.786) / (711.131 / 10311.307)
=0.075333 / 0.068966
=1.0923

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4162.714 / 10311.307) / (4015.696 / 10454.786)
=0.403704 / 0.384101
=1.051

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3434.017 + 3278.981) / 12128.609) / (1 - (3836.954 + 3285.833) / 11830.854)
=0.446515 / 0.397948
=1.122

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10454.786 / 10311.307
=1.0139

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(438.246 / (438.246 + 3285.833)) / (455.221 / (455.221 + 3278.981))
=0.117679 / 0.121906
=0.9653

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2144.794 / 10454.786) / (2167.782 / 10311.307)
=0.205149 / 0.210233
=0.9758

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4293.831 + 2909.945) / 12128.609) / ((4756.643 + 2508.497) / 11830.854)
=0.593949 / 0.614084
=0.9672

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1282.339 - -43.773 - 2278.071) / 12128.609
=-0.078489

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Hershey Co has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
The Hershey Co (MIL:1HSY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Hershey Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #844 out of 1853 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 45.5%.
Is The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Hershey Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #844 out of 1853 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The Hershey Co has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score compare to TR and SOWG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, The Hershey Co ranks #844 out of 1853 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The Hershey Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Hershey Co and its competitors. The Hershey Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Hershey Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co (MIL:1HSY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €179.99, compared to a current price of €151.95 — trading 15.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. The Hershey Co's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Hershey Co (MIL:1HSY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Hershey Co (MIL:1HSY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Hershey Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €151.95 is trading 15.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of €179.99. GuruFocus considers The Hershey Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1HSY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: €179.99 vs. price of €151.95 (15.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1HSY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Hershey Co Business Description

Address 19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading US confectionery manufacturer (around a $55 billion market, according to Euromonitor), controlling 35% of the domestic chocolate aisle. Beyond its namesake label, the firm's portfolio has expanded over the last 85 years and now comprises 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, albeit with just a high-single-digit percentage of sales coming from markets outside the US, including Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confectionery business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its portfolio, as well as Pirate Brands, Dot's Pretzels, and LesserEvil over the past few years.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1HSY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€151.95
Price
€179.99
GF Value