Kenya Airways (NAI:KQ) Beneish M-Score: -1.45 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


NAI:KQ Kenya Airways Plc NAI:KQ
64 GF Score
Price KES5.56
GF Value KES3.70
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kenya Airways Beneish M-Score?

Kenya Airways NAI:KQ +0.72% 64 Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates NAI:KQ with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of KES3.70 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 960 Transportation companies, Kenya Airways ranks worse than 88.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.45 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kenya Airways's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAI:KQ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.63   Med: -3.29   Max: 4.12
Current: -1.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kenya Airways was 4.12. The lowest was -8.63. And the median was -3.29.


Kenya Airways Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kenya Airways's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kenya Airways Beneish M-Score Chart

Kenya Airways Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.70 -8.63 -3.69 -2.67 -1.45

Kenya Airways Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.69 0.00 -2.67 -1.45

NAI:KQ vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Kenya Airways's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kenya Airways Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Kenya Airways's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kenya Airways's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NAI:KQ
64GF Score
Kenya Airways Plc NAI:KQ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kenya Airways Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kenya Airways for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1978+0.528 * 4.6538+0.404 * 1.2106+0.892 * 0.8563+0.115 * 0.8625
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6269+4.679 * -0.192252-0.327 * 1.0331
=-1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was KES20,882 Mil.
Revenue was KES160,698 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES3,106 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES41,425 Mil.
Total Assets was KES183,228 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES114,613 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES22,907 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES6,135 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES132,921 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES166,700 Mil.
Net Income was KES-17,134 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was KES18,092 Mil.
Total Receivables was KES20,361 Mil.
Revenue was KES187,675 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES16,881 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES41,607 Mil.
Total Assets was KES179,104 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES115,543 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES19,385 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES4,404 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES119,441 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES164,057 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(20882 / 160698) / (20361 / 187675)
=0.129946 / 0.108491
=1.1978

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16881 / 187675) / (3106 / 160698)
=0.089948 / 0.019328
=4.6538

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (41425 + 114613) / 183228) / (1 - (41607 + 115543) / 179104)
=0.148394 / 0.122577
=1.2106

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=160698 / 187675
=0.8563

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(19385 / (19385 + 115543)) / (22907 / (22907 + 114613))
=0.143669 / 0.166572
=0.8625

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6135 / 160698) / (4404 / 187675)
=0.038177 / 0.023466
=1.6269

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((166700 + 132921) / 183228) / ((164057 + 119441) / 179104)
=1.635236 / 1.582868
=1.0331

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-17134 - 0 - 18092) / 183228
=-0.192252

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kenya Airways has a M-score of -1.45 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 mean?
Kenya Airways (NAI:KQ) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kenya Airways and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kenya Airways ranks #849 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 88.4%.
Is Kenya Airways' Beneish M-Score too high?
Kenya Airways' current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. Based on the distribution chart, Kenya Airways ranks #849 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Kenya Airways has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kenya Airways' Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Kenya Airways ranks #849 out of 960 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Kenya Airways in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kenya Airways and its competitors. Kenya Airways's current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kenya Airways stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kenya Airways (NAI:KQ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KES3.70, compared to a current price of KES5.56 — trading 50.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. Kenya Airways' overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kenya Airways (NAI:KQ), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kenya Airways (NAI:KQ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kenya Airways stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KES5.56 is trading 50.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of KES3.70. GuruFocus considers Kenya Airways to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NAI:KQ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.45
  • GF Value™: KES3.70 vs. price of KES5.56 (50.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NAI:KQ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kenya Airways Business Description

Address Airport North Road, P.O Box 19002, Embakasi, Nairobi, KEN, 00501
Kenya Airways Plc is engaged in the international, regional, and domestic carriage of passengers and cargo by air, the provision of ground handling services to other airlines, and the handling of import and export cargo. The company's segments include passengers, freight, mail, handling, and others. It operates domestic flights and flies to Africa, the Middle East, Asia, America, and Europe. The company is engaged in four business segments: Passenger, Freight and Mail, Handling, and Other revenue. Key revenue is generated from the Passenger segment.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:KQ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KES5.56
Price
KES3.70
GF Value