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National Bank Holdings (National Bank Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.20 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is National Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Bank Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NBHC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.75   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.99
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Bank Holdings was -1.99. The lowest was -4.75. And the median was -2.40.


National Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Bank Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0109+0.892 * 1.2766+0.115 * 0.8434
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8898+4.679 * -0.002501-0.327 * 0.8641
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0.0 Mil.
Revenue was 104.056 + 105.475 + 103.607 + 108.226 = $421.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 104.056 + 105.475 + 103.607 + 108.226 = $421.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $819.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,951.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $162.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $23.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $148.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $394.2 Mil.
Net Income was 33.121 + 36.087 + 32.557 + 40.283 = $142.0 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 44.623 + 48.116 + 92.991 + -18.795 = $166.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.0 Mil.
Revenue was 107.799 + 85.04 + 72.779 + 64.447 = $330.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 107.799 + 85.04 + 72.779 + 64.447 = $330.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $901.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,573.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $136.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $16.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $130.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $438.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 421.364) / (0 / 330.065)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(330.065 / 330.065) / (421.364 / 421.364)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (819.655 + 162.733) / 9951.064) / (1 - (901.794 + 136.111) / 9573.243)
=0.901278 / 0.891583
=1.0109

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=421.364 / 330.065
=1.2766

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16.448 / (16.448 + 136.111)) / (23.853 / (23.853 + 162.733))
=0.107814 / 0.127839
=0.8434

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(148.711 / 421.364) / (130.913 / 330.065)
=0.352928 / 0.396628
=0.8898

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((394.2 + 0) / 9951.064) / ((438.89 + 0) / 9573.243)
=0.039614 / 0.045845
=0.8641

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(142.048 - 0 - 166.935) / 9951.064
=-0.002501

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Bank Holdings has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Bank Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Bank Holdings (National Bank Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7800 East Orchard Road, Suite 300, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111
National Bank Holdings Corp is a bank holding company. It provides various banking products and financial services to commercial, business, and consumer clients in the United States. The company offers deposit products including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and other deposit accounts, including fixed-rate and fixed-maturity time deposits. It also provides commercial and industrial loans and leases. In addition, it offers treasury management solutions comprising online and mobile banking, commercial credit card, wire transfer, automated clearing house, and electronic bill payments.
Executives
Christopher S. Randall officer: EVP, Comm. & Specialty Banking 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
G. Timothy Laney director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Robert E Dean director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Brendan W Zahl officer: EVP NBH Residential Banking 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Newfield Richard U Jr. officer: Chief Risk Mngmt Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Alka Gupta director 2828 N. HARWOOD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75201
Warren Burney S. Iii director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Maria F Spring director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Angela Nicole Petrucci officer: Chief Admin Officer NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Whitney A. Bartelli officer: Chief Marketing Officer 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Patrick G. Sobers officer: EVP, Consumer & Smll Bus. Bnkg 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Ruth Stevenson officer: Chief Client Executive 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Zsolt K Bessko officer: Chief Admin Officer 1331 SEVENTEENTH STREET, STE. 300, DENVER CO 80202
Aldis Birkans officer: Chief Financial Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Denabeele Nicole Van officer: Chief Accounting Officer 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111