NEXA (Nexa Resources) Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (As of Sep. 09, 2026)

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NEXA Nexa Resources SA NEXA
60 GF Score
Price $14.12
GF Value $9.19
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Nexa Resources Beneish M-Score?

Nexa Resources NEXA +2.32% 60 Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates NEXA with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $9.19 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Nexa Resources ranks better than 76.64% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nexa Resources's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NEXA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.81

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nexa Resources was -2.17. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.59.


Nexa Resources Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nexa Resources's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nexa Resources Beneish M-Score Chart

Nexa Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.55 -2.63 -3.12 -2.29

Nexa Resources Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.65 -2.29 -2.50 -2.81

NEXA vs EMAT, TMC, IMC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Nexa Resources's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nexa Resources Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Nexa Resources's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nexa Resources's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NEXA
60GF Score
Nexa Resources SA NEXA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nexa Resources Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nexa Resources for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8471+0.528 * 0.6688+0.404 * 1.0466+0.892 * 1.243+0.115 * 1.1297
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0043+4.679 * -0.059279-0.327 * 0.9636
=-2.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $185 Mil.
Revenue was 907.935 + 888.321 + 903.003 + 763.515 = $3,463 Mil.
Gross Profit was 257.163 + 272.146 + 299.835 + 153.96 = $983 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,155 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,381 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,213 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $310 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $156 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,452 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,714 Mil.
Net Income was 68.605 + 89.306 + 50.354 + 69.34 = $278 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1.238 + 31.154 + -59.329 + 119.59 = $93 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 111.247 + -55.588 + 280.822 + 167.471 = $504 Mil.
Total Receivables was $176 Mil.
Revenue was 708.422 + 627.115 + 740.918 + 709.476 = $2,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 132.538 + 126.563 + 143.298 + 126.58 = $529 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,089 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,874 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,908 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $321 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $125 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,175 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,800 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(185.049 / 3462.774) / (175.755 / 2785.931)
=0.05344 / 0.063087
=0.8471

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(528.979 / 2785.931) / (983.104 / 3462.774)
=0.189875 / 0.283906
=0.6688

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1154.834 + 3213.226) / 5381.321) / (1 - (1088.779 + 2908.233) / 4873.847)
=0.188292 / 0.179906
=1.0466

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3462.774 / 2785.931
=1.243

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(321.294 / (321.294 + 2908.233)) / (310.306 / (310.306 + 3213.226))
=0.099486 / 0.088067
=1.1297

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(155.714 / 3462.774) / (124.74 / 2785.931)
=0.044968 / 0.044775
=1.0043

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1713.611 + 1452.117) / 5381.321) / ((1800.239 + 1175.195) / 4873.847)
=0.588281 / 0.61049
=0.9636

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(277.605 - 92.653 - 503.952) / 5381.321
=-0.059279

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nexa Resources has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 mean?
Nexa Resources (NEXA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 as of Sep. 09, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nexa Resources and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nexa Resources ranks #160 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 23.4%.
Is Nexa Resources' Beneish M-Score too high?
Nexa Resources' current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Based on the distribution chart, Nexa Resources ranks #160 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Nexa Resources has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nexa Resources' Beneish M-Score compare to EMAT and TMC?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Nexa Resources ranks #160 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Nexa Resources in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nexa Resources and its competitors. Nexa Resources's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nexa Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nexa Resources (NEXA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $9.19, compared to a current price of $14.12 — trading 53.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Nexa Resources' overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nexa Resources (NEXA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nexa Resources (NEXA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nexa Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $14.12 is trading 53.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $9.19. GuruFocus considers Nexa Resources to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NEXA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.81
  • GF Value™: $9.19 vs. price of $14.12 (53.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the NEXA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nexa Resources Business Description

Other Exchanges NE0:Germany
Address 37A, Avenue J.F. Kennedy, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1855
Nexa Resources SA operate large-scale, mechanized underground and open pit mines, as well as smelters. The company operates through two segments namely Mining and Smelting. Its Mining segment consists of various operating units includes mineral exploration activities and the production of zinc concentrates, copper concentrates and concentrates. The Smelting segment comprises operating units which include facilities recovering and refining zinc metal out of feed materials such as zinc concentrates or secondary feed materials. It generates maximum revenue from the Smelting segment. Geographically It has a presence in Brazil, Peru, the United States of America, Switzerland, Japan, Argentina, South Korea, Colombia, Vietnam, Malaysia and other countries.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NEXA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.12
Price
$9.19
GF Value